Do I ship it?

GamesMedical SimMedical Sim + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Medical Sim?

Medical Sim + Point & Click

Of 22 developers who shipped a Point & Click Medical Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.2k, ×17 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×749 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medical Sim + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $144k → $959 → $8.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Medical Sim + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,440)
Median $8.2k (exactly $8,150)
Top 25% $61k (exactly $61,475)
Top 5% $356k (exactly $355,622)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 37
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Medical Sim, Point & Click; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Puzzle, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,278 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $8.2k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Medical Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PuzzleFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  2. + SandboxPoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 25 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  4. + Immersive SimPoor odds18 devs · median $6.0k · 53 announced
  5. + EconomyPoor odds14 devs · median $5.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds32 devs · median $4.5k · 42 announced
  7. + Choices MatterPoor odds33 devs · median $4.2k · 43 announced
  8. + Visual NovelPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 14 announced
  9. + Resource ManagementPoor odds20 devs · median $3.9k · 33 announced
  10. + ManagementPoor odds31 devs · median $3.8k · 49 announced
  11. + SimulationPoor odds73 devs · median $3.6k · 132 announced
  12. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds8 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced

All 20 pairs on the Medical Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Do No Harm $15.99 896 74% 27k $430k (exactly $429,811) Darts Games
Night Shift Nurses $19.99 593 84% 18k $356k (exactly $355,622) Shiravune
SKETCHY MASSAGE $10.99 438 85% 13k $144k (exactly $144,409) OZ WORKS
Sanatorium - A Mental Asylum Simulator $12.99 208 59% 6.2k $81k (exactly $81,058) Zeitglas
Angel Engine $7.99 303 80% 9.1k $73k (exactly $72,629) HMS Studios, Black Lantern Collective
Fable Hospital $24.99 82 75% 2.5k $61k (exactly $61,475) AMGames TC
The Kindeman Remedy older $4.99 270 67% 8.1k $40k (exactly $40,419) Troglobytes Games
中国战疫 older $16.99 64 76% 1.9k $33k (exactly $32,621) 不吃蛋黄
Save One More older $4.99 187 62% 5.6k $28k (exactly $27,994) Stas Shostak
Prescribe and Pray $11.99 71 70% 2.1k $26k (exactly $25,539) Nuclear Rabbits
The city of eyes and the girl in dreamland $7.99 104 85% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,929) UVKen
Witch Please: Sex Service $7.99 70 65% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,779) Aquilon
Gaming Burnout Treatment Center $0.99 513 98% 15k $15k (exactly $15,236) Wave Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.