Do I ship it?

GamesLife SimLife Sim + Medical Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medical Sim Life Sim?

Life Sim + Medical Sim

Of 32 developers who shipped a Medical Sim Life Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×9.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×524 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 42 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 42 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Life Sim + Medical Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $2.7k → $57k → $19k → $1.6k → $5.9k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Life Sim + Medical Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,499)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $36,863)
Top 5% $249k (exactly $248,751)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 69
Announced 42
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Life Sim, Medical Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sandbox, Choices Matter
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 2,541 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Life Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds38 devs · median $54k · 21 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  3. + MusicStrong odds28 devs · median $9.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced
  5. + Football (Soccer)Fair10 devs · median $10k · 16 announced
  6. + FaithFair11 devs · median $9.4k · 13 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair92 devs · median $7.3k · 121 announced
  8. + GamblingFair28 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + DemonsFair16 devs · median $2.4k · 22 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair162 devs · median $2.4k · 219 announced
  11. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.5k · 74 announced
  12. + ZombiesFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 34 announced

All 173 pairs on the Life Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Project Hospital older $24.99 8,387 89% 252k $6.3M (exactly $6,287,734) Oxymoron Games
Night Shift Nurses $19.99 593 84% 18k $356k (exactly $355,622) Shiravune
Weed Shop 2 older $9.99 845 86% 25k $253k (exactly $253,246) ADhD Studios
CURE - A Hospital Simulator · EA $9.99 830 86% 25k $249k (exactly $248,751) Sentinel Games
Emergency Room Simulator $24.99 154 43% 4.6k $115k (exactly $115,454) Caipirinha Games
Real Feel $19.99 170 64% 5.1k $102k (exactly $101,949) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Lost Scavenger · EA older $14.99 220 51% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Rockbee
Prison Tycoon®: Under New Management older $19.99 144 62% 4.3k $86k (exactly $86,357) Abylight Studios
Pharmacy Simulator · EA older $9.99 244 57% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) Altai Entertainment
SEX Hospital 💦 $9.99 189 69% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Lust Desires 🖤
Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌 $14.99 119 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) BanzaiProject
Medic: Pacific War · EA $9.99 143 70% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Hypnotic Ants
Herbals tycoon · EA $9.99 123 76% 3.7k $37k (exactly $36,863) Orange Paper Studio
Big Bad Pharma $6.99 92 84% 2.8k $19k (exactly $19,292) Middlewood Studio
Doctor Life Simulator $4.99 128 62% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) Bleeding Edge Studio, Blackburne Games… (Bleeding Edge Studio, Blackburne Games Studio FZ LLC)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.