Do I ship it?

GamesMedical SimMedical Sim + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Medical Sim?

Medical Sim + Female Protagonist

Only 8 developers shipped a Female-Led Medical Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×7.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $53k, ×113 the market median. Revenue is up 1425% on the market; 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1425% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medical Sim + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Medical Sim + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,576)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $53,514)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 26
Announced 12
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1425% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Medical Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 8,966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $53k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Medical Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PuzzleFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  2. + SandboxPoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 25 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  4. + Point & ClickPoor odds22 devs · median $8.2k · 26 announced
  5. + Immersive SimPoor odds18 devs · median $6.0k · 53 announced
  6. + EconomyPoor odds14 devs · median $5.9k · 12 announced
  7. + Life SimPoor odds32 devs · median $4.5k · 42 announced
  8. + Choices MatterPoor odds33 devs · median $4.2k · 43 announced
  9. + Visual NovelPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 14 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds20 devs · median $3.9k · 33 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds31 devs · median $3.8k · 49 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds73 devs · median $3.6k · 132 announced

All 20 pairs on the Medical Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Mortuary Assistant older $24.99 7,269 92% 218k $5.4M (exactly $5,449,569) DarkStone Digital
Heart's Medicine - Time to Heal older $19.99 807 93% 24k $484k (exactly $483,958) Blue Giraffe, GameHouse
Heart's Medicine - Hospital Heat older $19.99 328 95% 9.8k $197k (exactly $196,702) Blue Giraffe, GameHouse
Heart's Medicine - Doctor's Oath older $19.99 181 62% 5.4k $109k (exactly $108,546) Blue Giraffe, GameHouse
Heart's Medicine - Season One older $19.99 100 79% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Big Blue Studios, GameHouse
Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌 $14.99 119 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) BanzaiProject
Songs of Life $8.99 80 81% 2.4k $22k (exactly $21,576) DreamStep
Syntherapy older $14.99 27 74% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) Crowned Daemon Studios
Alien Morgue $7.99 34 94% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) BurGum Games
Pet Vet 3D Animal Hospital older $11.99 21 61% 630 $7.6k (exactly $7,554) BrainGame
Cure for Danmaku Synd $6.99 17 100% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) ToAge
Nursing Simulator—Code Ube $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Mobile Nursing LLC
Out of Your Mind $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) 32 bita
Queen Naeja's Desires $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) SongGame
Alisa’s Incident Report $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Nagi Kurokawa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.