Do I ship it?

GamesMedical SimMedical Sim + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Medical Sim?

Medical Sim + Multiple Endings

Only 17 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Medical Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Do No Harm, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×905 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 25 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medical Sim + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $96k → $3.9k → $37k → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Medical Sim + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,274)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,530)
Top 5% $430k (exactly $429,811)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 34
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medical Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Medical Sim, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Puzzle, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,449 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Medical Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PuzzleFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  2. + SandboxPoor odds11 devs · median $37k · 25 announced
  3. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  4. + Point & ClickPoor odds22 devs · median $8.2k · 26 announced
  5. + Immersive SimPoor odds18 devs · median $6.0k · 53 announced
  6. + EconomyPoor odds14 devs · median $5.9k · 12 announced
  7. + Life SimPoor odds32 devs · median $4.5k · 42 announced
  8. + Choices MatterPoor odds33 devs · median $4.2k · 43 announced
  9. + Visual NovelPoor odds16 devs · median $4.2k · 14 announced
  10. + Resource ManagementPoor odds20 devs · median $3.9k · 33 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds31 devs · median $3.8k · 49 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds73 devs · median $3.6k · 132 announced

All 20 pairs on the Medical Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
War Hospital older $29.99 1,006 60% 30k $905k (exactly $905,098) Brave Lamb Studio S.A.
Mind Scanners older $16.99 1,095 78% 33k $558k (exactly $558,122) The Outer Zone
Do No Harm $15.99 896 74% 27k $430k (exactly $429,811) Darts Games
Revenge Of The Colon older $12.99 366 84% 11k $143k (exactly $142,630) Lilou Studio
Oyabu Clinic Deathcare Corporation older $14.99 213 93% 6.4k $96k (exactly $95,786) Flying Panjandrum / ふらいんぐパンジャンドラム
Sanatorium - A Mental Asylum Simulator $12.99 208 59% 6.2k $81k (exactly $81,058) Zeitglas
The Patient S Remedy older $39.99 50 98% 1.5k $60k (exactly $59,985) MADA labo
The Kindeman Remedy older $4.99 270 67% 8.1k $40k (exactly $40,419) Troglobytes Games
Herbals tycoon · EA $9.99 123 76% 3.7k $37k (exactly $36,863) Orange Paper Studio
Prescribe and Pray $11.99 71 70% 2.1k $26k (exactly $25,539) Nuclear Rabbits
Wound Man $8.99 65 93% 2.0k $18k (exactly $17,530) Aspidochelone Studios
Alien Morgue $7.99 34 94% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) BurGum Games
Real Pharmacy Simulator · EA $12.99 10 20% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Mannered Monster
The Book of Plagues $6.99 17 94% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) DiaMMax Games
電視夢工場 $3.99 19 52% 570 $2.3k (exactly $2,274) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Epi Derick $7.99 6 66% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Fireslug Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.