Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Match 3

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Match 3?

Multiple Endings + Match 3

Only 10 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Match 3 in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×302 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 25 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Match 3
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $238 → $97k → $68k → $60
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Match 3: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $59k (exactly $58,982)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $143,328)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 44
Announced 25
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Match 3
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Match 3
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 91% positive over 874 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $58k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 25 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror 2: Project X · EA older $1.99 111,251 24% 3.3M $6.6M (exactly $6,641,685) KAGAMI Ⅱ WORKs
ISEKAI QUEST older $3.99 3,679 85% 110k $440k (exactly $440,376) Studio Ginkgo
Humans are not that against Lizardwomen older $3.99 2,807 93% 84k $336k (exactly $335,998) Hue Axis Entertainment
Furry Shades of Gay 2: A Shade Gayer older $9.99 738 96% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Furlough Games
Sex and the Furry Titty 2: Sins of the City older $9.99 708 91% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) Furlough Games
Sex and the Furry Titty older $6.99 996 90% 30k $209k (exactly $208,861) Furlough Games
Furry Shades of Gay older $6.99 835 91% 25k $175k (exactly $175,100) Furlough Games
Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To $19.99 239 94% 7.2k $143k (exactly $143,328) Soft Not Weak, LLC
Furry Shades of Gay 3: Still Gayer older $9.99 403 95% 12k $121k (exactly $120,779) Furlough Games
Sex and the Furry Titty 3: Come Inside, Sweety older $9.99 325 92% 9.8k $97k (exactly $97,402) Furlough Games
Hentai Stories $9.99 228 83% 6.8k $68k (exactly $68,332) Horny Capybara Studio
Island Of Enchantment $4.99 394 93% 12k $59k (exactly $58,982) DigitalDream
Slay the Demon Queen $6.99 10 90% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Azurezero
Mysteerie $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Mallow Games
四叶派对(Clover Party) · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) HZ studio
Tower Of Wishes 4: Shaka $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ironcode Gaming
T*RIFF U!! $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) drill
Undo My Seal, Senpai! $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Steve Rambo and Gang
Fishing Cat's Slack-off Diary $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 与子同舟工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.