Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Mars

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mars Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Mars

Only 7 developers shipped a Mars Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mars First Logistics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $630. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 5 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Mars
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Mars: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $1.7M (exactly $1,691,422)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 25
Announced 5
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mars
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 11,419 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $1.6M, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 5 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Terraformers older $19.99 3,031 88% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,817,691) Asteroid Lab
Plan B: Terraform $15.99 3,526 91% 106k $1.7M (exactly $1,691,422) Gaddy Games
Stellar Settlers: Space Base Builder $11.99 744 69% 22k $268k (exactly $267,617) Tinymice Entertainment
Farlanders older $14.99 510 89% 15k $229k (exactly $229,347) Andrii Bychkovskyi
Mars Base older $19.99 37 51% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Khuong Le
Above Earth · EA older $17.99 39 71% 1.2k $21k (exactly $21,048) Steven Eric Boyette
Outer Space Shack older $24.99 13 38% 390 $9.7k (exactly $9,746) Open Lowcode SAS
MechNest older $15.99 14 71% 420 $6.7k (exactly $6,716) PoisonGames
T. B. P. older $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Terraspace $7.99 5 20% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Black Apple
IRONBORNE $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Tres Interactive
Bryan's Indie Collection $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Bryan Veres
Funorbit · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Aeroenix

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.