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Should I ship a Procedural Generation Walking Simulator?
Procedural Generation + Walking Simulator
Of 57 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 62 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,422) |
| Top 5% | $20k (exactly $20,093) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 57 |
| Released games | 150 |
| Announced | 62 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Procedural Generation, Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Collectathon
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.80 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.80 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,240 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SnowFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + DetectiveFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
- + SailingPoor odds
Comparable games
Cube World 2019 · $5.9M 
Lunch Lady 2021 · $1.5M 
Everything 2017 · $1.4M 
Salt 2018 · $881k 
PANELKI 2022 · $576k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Cube World | older | $19.99 | 9,885 42% | 297k | $5.9M (exactly $5,928,034) | Picroma |
| | Lunch Lady | older | $4.99 | 9,722 86% | 292k | $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) | Manic Mice |
| | Everything | older | $14.99 | 3,189 83% | 96k | $1.4M (exactly $1,434,093) | David OReilly |
| | Salt | older | $14.99 | 1,959 75% | 59k | $881k (exactly $880,962) | Lavaboots Studios |
| | PANELKI | older | $7.99 | 2,404 86% | 72k | $576k (exactly $576,239) | Alexander Gromyko |
 | Proteus | older | $9.99 | 1,420 82% | 43k | $426k (exactly $425,574) | Ed Key and David Kanaga |
 | Anemoiapolis: Chapter 1 | older | $8.99 | 1,153 81% | 35k | $311k (exactly $310,964) | Andrew Quist |
 | Enter The Backrooms | older | $9.99 | 986 87% | 30k | $296k (exactly $295,504) | Justin Kroh |
 | Trip to Vinelands | older | $4.99 | 1,572 85% | 47k | $235k (exactly $235,328) | Walter Machado |
 | Paradise Marsh | older | $14.99 | 422 96% | 13k | $190k (exactly $189,773) | LazyEti |
 | Forest Hustle | $4.99 | 570 90% | 17k | $85k (exactly $85,329) | Mike Forest | |
 | Cumrooms | $11.99 | 166 86% | 5.0k | $60k (exactly $59,710) | Moon Loom Studio | |
 | Colony 37 | · EA | $2.99 | 224 95% | 6.7k | $20k (exactly $20,093) | Valen |
 | PLATONICA SPACE | $9.99 | 58 68% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | Kazuhide Oka | |
 | Infinite Orienteering: The Hiker's Path | · EA | $18.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $10k (exactly $10,255) | Portality AB, Toleap Consulting AB |
 | Willie's Nightfall | $4.99 | 65 78% | 2.0k | $9.7k (exactly $9,730) | Runebox Game Studio | |
 | Echoes of Vasteria | $4.99 | 55 70% | 1.7k | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) | Blindsided Games | |
 | Backrooms: Wit's End | · EA | $4.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $6.1k (exactly $6,138) | Augusto Micheli Debard |
 | Wilderless: Meadowfell | $7.99 | 25 84% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | Protopop | |
 | Infinite Backrooms | · EA | $8.99 | 18 33% | 540 | $4.9k (exactly $4,855) | ww_azevedo |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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