Do I ship it?

GamesProcedural GenerationProcedural Generation + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Logic game?

Procedural Generation + Logic

Of 137 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 149 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is flat on the market; 149 games are announced against 83 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 149 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 137
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $5.2k → $1.2k → $210 → $899 → $359 → $539 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 137
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $478 (exactly $478)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,341)
Top 5% $375k (exactly $374,507)
Developers, 2 yr 137
Released games 340
Announced 149
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Puzzle, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 30,493 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 149 games are announced against 83 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  11. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds10 devs · median $27k · 40 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
shapez 2 - Factory $29.99 13,846 96% 415k $12M (exactly $12,457,246) tobspr Games
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
shapez older $9.99 14,252 96% 428k $4.3M (exactly $4,271,324) Tobias Springer
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure $29.99 1,867 82% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) Massive Miniteam
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
LYNE older $2.99 7,185 95% 216k $644k (exactly $644,494) Thomas Bowker
City Tales - Medieval Era $22.99 543 90% 16k $375k (exactly $374,507) Irregular Shapes
Tower Networking Inc. · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Pocosia Studios
Atomcraft $14.99 407 94% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) Triplejump
Code: Terraform · EA $14.99 252 85% 7.6k $113k (exactly $113,324) AppsMafia

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.