Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Magic

Of 39 developers who shipped a Magic Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×360 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 57 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 57 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $148 → $896 → $899 → $748 → $610 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $5.0k (exactly $5,034)
Top 5% $226k (exactly $226,251)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 78
Announced 57
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 10,516 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $540, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
YAPYAP $9.99 8,385 83% 252k $2.5M (exactly $2,512,984) Maison Bap
Junji Ito Maniac: An Infinite Gaol $11.99 629 78% 19k $226k (exactly $226,251) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Tower of Kalemonvo $14.99 453 83% 14k $204k (exactly $203,714) osur
Vade Retro : Exorcist older $6.99 921 70% 28k $193k (exactly $193,134) Forceight
Ars Notoria · EA $19.99 299 62% 9.0k $179k (exactly $179,310) XRON Software
Infinite Lives $14.99 217 76% 6.5k $98k (exactly $97,585) MDickie
Blood & Lust [18+]🩸 $9.99 161 75% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Carnality INC
The Last Man Survivor $4.99 279 67% 8.4k $42k (exactly $41,766) Renderise
COLINA: Legacy older $4.99 193 79% 5.8k $29k (exactly $28,892) Chance6 Studios, LLC
Novena Diabolos older $15.99 52 96% 1.6k $25k (exactly $24,944) H5DEV Games
PLAYTOWN: Chapter 3 $8.99 26 88% 780 $7.0k (exactly $7,012) Cyanide TIme Games
Hollowdeep $3.99 46 93% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) Kyle Burgin
Alchemy of the Earth $7.99 21 61% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Tamalpais Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.