Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Logic

Of 58 developers who shipped a Logic Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×493 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 65 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 65 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $14k → $1.3k → $2.1k → $898 → $748 → $239 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,594)
Top 5% $310k (exactly $309,914)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 136
Announced 65
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 7,681 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $750, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
The Cabin Factory $2.99 3,455 90% 104k $310k (exactly $309,914) International Cat Studios
Post Trauma $14.99 574 72% 17k $258k (exactly $258,128) RED SOUL GAMES
The Light Remake older $4.99 1,462 87% 44k $219k (exactly $218,861) Носков Сергей
Spectral Scream older $9.99 654 78% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) STOIC Ent.
Save Room - Organization Puzzle older $2.99 2,033 97% 61k $182k (exactly $182,360) Fractal Projects
Left Alone older $6.99 592 74% 18k $124k (exactly $124,142) SpeedTutor
I'm on Observation Duty 4 older $4.99 787 96% 24k $118k (exactly $117,814) Notovia
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
Temple of the Green Moon $14.99 94 75% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) OLKON GAMES
Rehaunted $7.99 172 66% 5.2k $41k (exactly $41,228) Cauchemar
Para Eyes $9.99 133 95% 4.0k $40k (exactly $39,860) Shawno Studios
Escape From Crimson Manor: Trapped Together $12.99 78 69% 2.3k $30k (exactly $30,397) MediaCity Games
Beyond R: Rule Ripper $24.99 32 90% 960 $24k (exactly $23,990) Tohriv, GJ Staff

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.