Should I ship a Music Logic game?
Logic + Music
Only 13 developers shipped a Music Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ADEN, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $210, ×0.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is down 10% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $208 (exactly $208) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,860) |
| Top 5% | $181k (exactly $180,699) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 116 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 1,345 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Logic with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LovecraftianFair
- + City BuilderFair
- + NoirFair
- + HackingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + DragonsFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Bullet TimeFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + TransportationFair
- + Automobile SimFair
- + CookingFair
Comparable games
Hatsune Miku Logic Paint S 2022 · $452k 
Slice of Sea 2021 · $392k 
ADEN 2024 · $181k 
Hatsune Miku Logic Paint S+ 2025 · $126k 
Rap Pop Jump Core 2024 · $82k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hatsune Miku Logic Paint S | older | $13.99 | 1,078 93% | 32k | $452k (exactly $452,437) | Crypton Future Media |
| | Slice of Sea | older | $24.99 | 523 90% | 16k | $392k (exactly $392,093) | Mateusz Skutnik |
| | ADEN | $8.99 | 670 96% | 20k | $181k (exactly $180,699) | takayakata | |
| | Hatsune Miku Logic Paint S+ | $14.99 | 280 89% | 8.4k | $126k (exactly $125,916) | Crypton Future Media | |
| | Rap Pop Jump Core | older | $29.99 | 91 89% | 2.7k | $82k (exactly $81,873) | Galactic Geckon |
 | Felix The Reaper | older | $9.99 | 217 80% | 6.5k | $65k (exactly $65,035) | Kong Orange |
 | Do you know de way | older | $24.99 | 84 82% | 2.5k | $63k (exactly $62,975) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
 | Puzzles For Clef | older | $14.99 | 118 85% | 3.5k | $53k (exactly $53,065) | Weasel Token |
 | Sonority | older | $19.99 | 80 86% | 2.4k | $48k (exactly $47,976) | Hanging Gardens Interactive |
 | Temple Of Snek | older | $14.99 | 102 90% | 3.1k | $46k (exactly $45,869) | Aetheric Games |
 | Birds Organized Neatly | $2.99 | 345 97% | 10k | $31k (exactly $30,947) | DU&I | |
 | Cadence | $12.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $13k (exactly $12,860) | Made With Monster Love | |
 | Reality Rifts | $3.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | Infinity Requiem Studio | |
 | Maze Lovers Memorial | $1.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | Felipe Carvajal Brown | |
 | Horny Blocks | $0.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $208 (exactly $208) | MaxHS | |
 | The Mine Room | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | DRRN | |
 | SpinGrid: Core Block Puzzle | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Exopoint Initiative | |
 | klik. | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | HydroYT |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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