Do I ship it?

GamesTransportationTransportation + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Transportation game?

Transportation + Logic

Of 29 developers who shipped a Logic Transportation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $900. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 30 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 30 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Transportation + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $6.9k → $1.7k → $3.6k → $7.8k (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Transportation + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 63
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Transportation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Transportation, Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Puzzle, Strategy
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 19,195 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Transportation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  2. + PvPFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + 3D PlatformerFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  4. + RacingFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  5. + Action-AdventureFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  6. + ArcadeFair37 devs · median $839 · 32 announced
  7. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $747 · 20 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  10. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds24 devs · median $27k · 48 announced
  12. + Immersive SimPoor odds61 devs · median $19k · 89 announced

All 53 pairs on the Transportation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
shapez 2 - Factory $29.99 13,846 96% 415k $12M (exactly $12,457,246) tobspr Games
Airport CEO older $24.99 7,752 83% 233k $5.8M (exactly $5,811,674) Apog Labs
City Bus Manager older $29.99 2,405 90% 72k $2.2M (exactly $2,163,778) PeDePe GbR
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
Fly Corp older $14.99 3,112 85% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,399,466) KishMish Games
Railbound older $12.99 1,818 94% 55k $708k (exactly $708,475) Afterburn
Subway Builder $39.99 394 59% 12k $473k (exactly $472,682) Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher,… (Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher, Nate Maue, Alex Wohlbruck, Piero Maddaleni, Brooks Flannery)
Worldwide Rush $19.99 559 77% 17k $335k (exactly $335,232) Memel Games
Delivery INC older $14.99 257 71% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) DIGIFOX
GRIDROAD $9.99 385 82% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) RAJACORP
Super Loco World - Cozy Train Automation $9.99 329 76% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,601) Andrii Bychkovskyi
ATC Ground Point $15.99 77 81% 2.3k $37k (exactly $36,937) Blueon
Parking in Tight Spaces $9.99 40 77% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Hungry Devs
Stoplights $8.99 39 89% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,518) Wicked Blobfish
Trackastrophe! $8.99 29 100% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) Kinoko Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.