Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Logic game?

Multiple Endings + Logic

Of 136 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 235 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×661 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 235 games are announced against 76 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 235 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 136
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $809 → $748 → $1.6k → $1.0k → $2.9k → $449 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 136
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $7,036)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $313,756)
Developers, 2 yr 136
Released games 354
Announced 235
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Investigation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 40,615 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $900, 1 in 4 over $7.0k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 69 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 235 games are announced against 76 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Magical Girl Witch Trials 2025 · $27M Word Game 2022 · $6.2M Blacksad: Under the Skin 2019 · $3.2M Riven 2024 · $2.9M THE 4 SINS 2024 · $1.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
Blacksad: Under the Skin older $19.99 5,356 83% 161k $3.2M (exactly $3,211,993) Pendulo Studios, YS Interactive
Riven older $34.99 2,764 92% 83k $2.9M (exactly $2,901,371) Cyan Worlds, Inc.
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Is this Game Trying to Kill Me? $14.99 1,513 95% 45k $680k (exactly $680,396) Stately Snail
Trials of Innocence $16.99 1,308 91% 39k $667k (exactly $666,688) 猫龙游戏
The Inheritance of Crimson Manor older $19.99 907 87% 27k $544k (exactly $543,928) MediaCity Games
Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise $15.99 1,054 78% 32k $506k (exactly $505,604) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
Game Of Fate 3：Clash Of Crowns $16.79 734 85% 22k $370k (exactly $369,716) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time $10.99 986 88% 30k $325k (exactly $325,084) KARMAGAME HK LIMITED
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
Post Trauma $14.99 574 72% 17k $258k (exactly $258,128) RED SOUL GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.