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Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Visual Novel?
Local Multiplayer + Visual Novel
Only 2 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Visual Novel in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 7 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $12k against a market of $480. 7 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,527) |
| Top 5% | $21k (exactly $20,990) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Local Multiplayer, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 54,210 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 7 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HockeyStrong odds
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Action RPGFair
- + Hex GridFair
- + ModernFair
- + WargameFair
- + TennisFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + SportsFair
- + RunnerFair
Comparable games
BlazBlue Centralfiction 2017 · $11M 
Catherine Classic 2019 · $5.3M 
Pyre 2017 · $5.0M 
Monster Prom 2018 · $4.4M 
Persona 4 Arena Ultimax 2022 · $3.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BlazBlue Centralfiction | older | $39.99 | 9,476 94% | 284k | $11M (exactly $11,368,357) | Arc System Works |
| | Catherine Classic | older | $19.99 | 8,858 88% | 266k | $5.3M (exactly $5,312,143) | ATLUS |
| | Pyre | older | $19.99 | 8,396 90% | 252k | $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) | Supergiant Games |
| | Monster Prom | older | $11.99 | 12,245 93% | 367k | $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) | Beautiful Glitch |
| | Persona 4 Arena Ultimax | older | $29.99 | 3,857 87% | 116k | $3.5M (exactly $3,470,143) | Arc System Works, ATLUS |
 | Melty Blood Actress Again Current Code | older | $24.99 | 3,819 93% | 115k | $2.9M (exactly $2,863,104) | FRENCH-BREAD |
 | BlazBlue: Chronophantasma Extend | older | $29.99 | 2,385 91% | 72k | $2.1M (exactly $2,145,784) | Arc System Works |
 | UNDER NIGHT IN-BIRTH Exe:Late[cl-r] | older | $24.99 | 2,816 94% | 84k | $2.1M (exactly $2,111,155) | FRENCH-BREAD |
 | BlazBlue: Continuum Shift Extend | older | $19.99 | 1,253 91% | 38k | $751k (exactly $751,424) | Arc System Works |
 | Escape Academy | older | $19.99 | 1,105 86% | 33k | $663k (exactly $662,668) | Coin Crew Games |
 | Soul Stalker | $4.99 | 77 77% | 2.3k | $12k (exactly $11,527) | Radhood, Conradical Games | |
 | Zone 6 | $11.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) | Ullbors |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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