Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Twin Stick Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Twin Stick Shooter?

Local Multiplayer + Twin Stick Shooter

Of 45 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $10k, ×22 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 55 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Twin Stick Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $4.5k → $1.1k → $5.5k → $599 → $2.6k → $898 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Twin Stick Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,490)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 196
Announced 55
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Twin Stick Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 4 Player Local, PvP
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 436 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $750, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. Nearly all of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Nuclear Throne older $11.99 15,047 96% 451k $5.4M (exactly $5,412,406) Vlambeer
Warhammer 40,000: Shootas, Blood & Teef older $19.99 2,586 87% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,550,824) Rogueside
Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light older $9.99 3,566 92% 107k $1.1M (exactly $1,068,730) Crystal Dynamics
Juicy Realm older $9.99 3,269 87% 98k $980k (exactly $979,719) SpaceCan
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
Crimsonland older $13.99 2,107 94% 63k $884k (exactly $884,308) 10tons Ltd
Assault Android Cactus+ older $19.99 1,325 94% 40k $795k (exactly $794,602) Witch Beam
LARA CROFT AND THE TEMPLE OF OSIRIS™ older $19.99 1,262 68% 38k $757k (exactly $756,821) Crystal Dynamics
Geometry Wars™ 3: Dimensions Evolved older $14.99 1,291 90% 39k $581k (exactly $580,563) Lucid Games, Aspyr (Linux)
Shape Shifter: Formations $14.99 269 91% 8.1k $121k (exactly $120,969) Castec Studios
M.O.O.D.S. $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) StickyStoneStudio
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Avian Knights $14.99 14 100% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Alan-1, Inc.
Yarn Guardians $14.99 14 100% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) pentapaw studios
WIZARD PUNKS!!! $6.99 23 95% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) EyeOfStormCat
Piss Off · EA $20.00 8 100% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,800) Emmanuel Crispi
Goo Goo Grapplers $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Both Good
Pulsar Crash $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Little Doctor Games
Jumalien $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Kevin Pedatte

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.