Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Top-Down Shooter?

Local Multiplayer + Top-Down Shooter

Of 72 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 96 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 65% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 96 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 72
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $1.3k → $4.2k → $898 → $1.2k → $299 → $269 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 72
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,822)
Developers, 2 yr 72
Released games 319
Announced 96
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Top-Down Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Co-Op, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, Funny, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 870 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nuclear Throne older $11.99 15,047 96% 451k $5.4M (exactly $5,412,406) Vlambeer
Ship of Fools older $21.99 5,040 82% 151k $3.3M (exactly $3,324,888) Fika Productions
Crimsonland older $13.99 2,107 94% 63k $884k (exactly $884,308) 10tons Ltd
DoDonPachi Resurrection older $29.99 982 95% 29k $884k (exactly $883,505) CAVE Interactive CO.,LTD.
Sky Force Reloaded older $9.99 2,687 92% 81k $805k (exactly $805,294) Infinite Dreams
Renegade Ops older $15.00 1,005 85% 30k $452k (exactly $452,250) Avalanche Studios
Splatter - Zombiecalypse Now older $6.99 2,098 89% 63k $440k (exactly $439,951) Dreamworlds
CYGNI: All Guns Blazing older $29.99 448 60% 13k $403k (exactly $403,066) KeelWorks
Tesla vs Lovecraft older $14.99 851 89% 26k $383k (exactly $382,695) 10tons Ltd
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD older $3.99 2,561 84% 77k $307k (exactly $306,552) Awesome Games Studio
Shape Shifter: Formations $14.99 269 91% 8.1k $121k (exactly $120,969) Castec Studios
Truxton Extreme $24.99 93 95% 2.8k $70k (exactly $69,722) Tatsujin
BattleCap $11.99 159 96% 4.8k $57k (exactly $57,192) MechAlmond Productions
Spy Drops $14.99 93 63% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) Rainy Night Creations
Asterogues $14.99 83 90% 2.5k $37k (exactly $37,325) pipotchi600
Silicomrades $10.99 43 100% 1.3k $14k (exactly $14,177) Outside the Fox
Hyperspaced $16.99 27 92% 810 $14k (exactly $13,762) Rarebyte
M.O.O.D.S. $12.99 29 82% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) StickyStoneStudio
Astro Fighters $8.99 29 93% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) Paul Connor
Kitchen Wars $4.99 45 80% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) Silent Owl

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.