Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Time Attack game?

Local Multiplayer + Time Attack

Only 5 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Time Attack game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SNOW BROS. 2 SPECIAL, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.0k against a market of $480. 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 8.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 4 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $4.0k (exactly $3,957)
Median $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,515)
Top 5% $84k (exactly $83,976)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 46
Announced 4
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Time Attack
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 20,293 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.0k, median $4.0k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.0k. 4 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Trackmania United Forever older $29.99 2,488 94% 75k $2.2M (exactly $2,238,454) Nadeo
Trackmania® Turbo older $39.99 1,520 66% 46k $1.8M (exactly $1,823,544) Nadeo
TrackMania² Stadium older $9.99 5,340 88% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) Nadeo
TrackMania² Canyon older $19.99 1,384 80% 42k $830k (exactly $829,985) Nadeo
Barro older $4.99 3,253 85% 98k $487k (exactly $486,974) SC Jogos
Dustforce DX older $9.99 1,214 93% 36k $364k (exactly $363,836) Hitbox Team
Barro F older $4.99 2,329 84% 70k $349k (exactly $348,651) SC Jogos
Barro 2020 older $4.99 1,932 84% 58k $289k (exactly $289,220) SC Jogos
The Ninja Saviors: Return of the Warriors older $19.99 430 92% 13k $258k (exactly $257,871) Winning Entertainment Group Inc.
TrackMania² Valley older $19.99 403 78% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Nadeo
SNOW BROS. 2 SPECIAL $34.99 80 70% 2.4k $84k (exactly $83,976) CRT GAMES
Barro F25 $4.99 117 86% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) SC Jogos
Marble Champions $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Luc Versleijen, Neonchimp Games
Supersonic Bridge Racing $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Stumi Games
Smoots Crazy Wave $10.99 3 100% 90 $989 (exactly $989) Kaneda Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.