Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Local Multiplayer

Only 14 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $70k, ×112 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $20k → $9.7k → $1.3k → $3.9k
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,892)
Top 5% $71k (exactly $70,536)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 58
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Local Multiplayer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Gore
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 364 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $840, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $70k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan older $19.99 9,244 76% 277k $5.5M (exactly $5,543,627) Supermassive Games
Contagion older $9.99 10,042 75% 301k $3.0M (exactly $3,009,587) Monochrome, Inc
Backrooms Rec. · EA older $6.99 1,830 68% 55k $384k (exactly $383,751) Liminal Logic
Sign of Silence older $4.99 1,787 52% 54k $268k (exactly $267,514) Renderise
Lakeview Cabin 2 older $13.99 542 96% 16k $227k (exactly $227,477) Roope Tamminen
Ogre older $24.99 223 66% 6.7k $167k (exactly $167,183) Auroch Digital
PATHOGEN X older $9.99 255 81% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) BraveCat'Studios
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Among Ass older $4.99 378 80% 11k $57k (exactly $56,587) Volens Nolens Games
Endgame: Road To Salvation · EA older $11.99 156 97% 4.7k $56k (exactly $56,113) Indie/Anon Games
THE WALLWAY · EA $9.99 35 5% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Daniel Seman
Soviet Survival · EA $4.99 68 75% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) Hunt Studio
Zombies Attack $4.99 26 100% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Liao Kai, LKK GAME
Try 2 Sleep $2.99 19 100% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) Exotical Corp.
Backrooms Escape Protocol · EA $2.99 15 13% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Alarm Studio
Wendigo Land : Survive The Legend · EA $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Apinat Studios
Grave Stakes · EA $2.99 9 44% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Wild West Games
Final Exit $4.99 5 40% 150 $748 (exactly $748) MohaDev
Somnum $7.99 2 0% 60 $479 (exactly $479) CryDream

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.