Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Supernatural

Only 10 developers shipped a Supernatural Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $5.1M, ×10908 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 25% $8.2k (exactly $8,247)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 82% positive over 3,055 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $8.2k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
Exorcist Simulator $9.99 116 66% 3.5k $35k (exactly $34,765) D.M.G.V
A Quiver of Crows older $14.99 26 76% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Sheado.net
Elsewhere Electric $24.99 11 27% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Games by Stitch
Mad Devils: Damned-finitive Edition older $14.99 11 54% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Itzy Interactive Inc.
Where is Billy? $6.99 23 100% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) Triple Boris Inc., Dodo Tako
The Skeletons Are Fighting $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) SteamyDev
Halloween is Crazy as Hell older $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Ciro Fernandes (Cube Legal)
HE ESCAPED older $4.99 14 85% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Manuel I.
VIDEO CHAPEL $7.99 8 87% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Jonathan Turner
Witchtower: Spell Siege $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) One Billion Bees
Beware The Ghost $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Goblinagerie
Ethereal Storm · EA $8.40 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) App.nz
Tab + Notch · EA $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HATCHgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.