Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Space

Of 63 developers who shipped a Space Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×135 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 89 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 89 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $3.8k → $1.2k → $1.0k → $1.0k → $210 → $598 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 5% $85k (exactly $84,572)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 283
Announced 89
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Local Co-Op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,416 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $84k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. Nearly all of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Among Us older $4.99 659,003 92% 20M $99M (exactly $98,652,749) Innersloth
LEGO® Star Wars™ - The Complete Saga older $19.99 20,768 96% 623k $12M (exactly $12,454,570) Traveller's Tales
Awesomenauts older $19.99 11,822 84% 355k $7.1M (exactly $7,089,653) Ronimo Games
LEGO® Batman™ 3: Beyond Gotham older $19.99 7,521 88% 226k $4.5M (exactly $4,510,344) TT Games Ltd
Terraforming Mars older $19.99 5,194 71% 156k $3.1M (exactly $3,114,842) Artefacts Studio
LEGO® STAR WARS™: The Force Awakens older $19.99 4,131 81% 124k $2.5M (exactly $2,477,361) Traveller's Tales, TT Games, Feral Inte… (Traveller's Tales, TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
We Love Katamari REROLL+ Royal Reverie older $29.99 2,194 95% 66k $2.0M (exactly $1,973,942) MONKEYCRAFT Co. Ltd.
Lovers in a Dangerous Spacetime older $14.99 3,368 93% 101k $1.5M (exactly $1,514,590) Asteroid Base
Star Control®: Origins older $19.99 2,067 74% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,239,580) Stardock Entertainment
Together: Moon Escape $9.99 868 90% 26k $260k (exactly $260,140) CarlosGameDev
Warhammer 40,000: Fire Warrior (Classic) $9.99 439 74% 13k $132k (exactly $131,568) Kuju Entertainment
Lumberjacked $4.99 647 83% 19k $97k (exactly $96,856) Inner Realm Studios, Dumb Duck Games
Monopoly: Star Wars™ Heroes vs. Villains $29.99 94 39% 2.8k $85k (exactly $84,572) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Truxton Extreme $24.99 93 95% 2.8k $70k (exactly $69,722) Tatsujin
Asterogues $14.99 83 90% 2.5k $37k (exactly $37,325) pipotchi600
Star Racer $9.99 59 93% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Whatnot Games
Servonauts $14.99 39 87% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) MAXART Games
Kickback: Shoot to Move! 👾 $6.99 59 100% 1.8k $12k (exactly $12,372) Dot blood
Bop It! The Video Game $7.99 35 94% 1.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,390) Alliance

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.