Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Robots

Of 37 developers who shipped a Robot Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×178 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 59 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $180 → $2.7k → $1.4k → $899 → $14k → $449 → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $9.2k (exactly $9,170)
Top 5% $112k (exactly $111,572)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 141
Announced 59
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Co-Op, PvP
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoon, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,356 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $9.1k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 6 older $59.99 6,225 69% 187k $11M (exactly $11,203,132) SANDLOT
Assault Android Cactus+ older $19.99 1,325 94% 40k $795k (exactly $794,602) Witch Beam
Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball older $9.99 2,258 91% 68k $677k (exactly $676,723) Erik Asmussen
Iron Saga VS $29.99 376 79% 11k $338k (exactly $338,287) Gameduchy
A Robot Named Fight! older $12.99 796 88% 24k $310k (exactly $310,201) Morningstar Game Studio
The Ninja Saviors: Return of the Warriors older $19.99 430 92% 13k $258k (exactly $257,871) Winning Entertainment Group Inc.
Death Squared older $14.99 471 90% 14k $212k (exactly $211,809) SMG Studio
Unspottable older $9.99 694 89% 21k $208k (exactly $207,992) GrosChevaux
Megabyte Punch older $14.99 409 94% 12k $184k (exactly $183,927) Team Reptile
Boti: Byteland Overclocked older $19.99 295 68% 8.9k $177k (exactly $176,912) Purple Ray Studio
TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials $39.99 93 78% 2.8k $112k (exactly $111,572) 3DClouds
Chip ‘n Clawz vs. The Brainioids $29.99 90 83% 2.7k $81k (exactly $80,973) Snapshot Games Inc.
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Super Alloy Crush · EA $11.99 194 90% 5.8k $70k (exactly $69,782) Alloy Mushroom
Chaos Faction Legacy Collection $4.99 234 93% 7.0k $35k (exactly $35,030) George "EON" Eade
Gundroid $11.99 54 96% 1.6k $19k (exactly $19,424) Kitogoru Games
Raise Your Tribe · EA $9.99 57 52% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Primeval Forest Studios
Silicomrades $10.99 43 100% 1.3k $14k (exactly $14,177) Outside the Fox
Xion Leak $8.99 34 100% 1.0k $9.2k (exactly $9,170) Gentle Beasts Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.