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Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Procedural Generation game?
Local Multiplayer + Procedural Generation
Of 44 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 95 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 5% | $29k (exactly $29,385) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 44 |
| Released games | 189 |
| Announced | 95 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Local Multiplayer, Procedural Generation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Local Co-Op, Action
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,328 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HockeyStrong odds
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Action RPGFair
- + Hex GridFair
- + ModernFair
- + WargameFair
- + TennisFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + SportsFair
- + RunnerFair
Comparable games
Wizard of Legend 2018 · $8.3M 
Unrailed! 2020 · $8.3M 
Spelunky 2013 · $6.6M 
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes 2015 · $6.4M 
Door Kickers: Action Squad 2018 · $3.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wizard of Legend | older | $15.99 | 17,322 91% | 520k | $8.3M (exactly $8,309,363) | Contingent99 |
| | Unrailed! | older | $19.99 | 13,789 93% | 414k | $8.3M (exactly $8,269,263) | Indoor Astronaut |
| | Spelunky | older | $14.99 | 14,676 92% | 440k | $6.6M (exactly $6,599,797) | Mossmouth |
| | Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes | older | $14.99 | 14,331 97% | 430k | $6.4M (exactly $6,444,651) | Steel Crate Games |
| | Door Kickers: Action Squad | older | $13.99 | 8,778 95% | 263k | $3.7M (exactly $3,684,127) | PixelShard, KillHouse Games |
 | Ember Knights | older | $19.99 | 6,065 93% | 182k | $3.6M (exactly $3,637,180) | Doom Turtle |
 | AudioSurf | older | $9.99 | 8,901 95% | 267k | $2.7M (exactly $2,667,630) | Dylan Fitterer |
 | Audiosurf 2 | older | $14.99 | 5,364 82% | 161k | $2.4M (exactly $2,412,191) | Dylan Fitterer |
 | 20XX | older | $14.99 | 3,979 91% | 119k | $1.8M (exactly $1,789,356) | Batterystaple Games, Fire Hose Games |
 | Tooth and Tail | older | $19.99 | 2,887 82% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,731,334) | Pocketwatch Games |
 | Unrailed 2: Back on Track | $19.99 | 1,794 88% | 54k | $1.1M (exactly $1,075,862) | Indoor Astronaut | |
 | DSS 2: War Industry | $17.99 | 183 83% | 5.5k | $99k (exactly $98,765) | vikingfabian | |
 | Up to Par | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | It's Anecdotal | |
 | Rogue Fist | $8.99 | 92 89% | 2.8k | $25k (exactly $24,812) | Wetcoat Games | |
 | Storm Lancers | $19.99 | 40 62% | 1.2k | $24k (exactly $23,988) | ProbablyMonsters | |
 | Monarchy | $14.99 | 47 78% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Brain Seal Ltd | |
 | Hyperspaced | $16.99 | 27 92% | 810 | $14k (exactly $13,762) | Rarebyte | |
 | Horn of the Warlord | $14.99 | 30 96% | 900 | $13k (exactly $13,491) | MagicKrol | |
 | M.O.O.D.S. | $12.99 | 29 82% | 870 | $11k (exactly $11,301) | StickyStoneStudio | |
 | SusDoku: Clues & Suspects | $4.99 | 37 35% | 1.1k | $5.5k (exactly $5,539) | MyNeuronal |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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