Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Precision Platformer?

Local Multiplayer + Precision Platformer

Of 48 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×499 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 43 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 43 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $56k → $776 → $449 → $1.8k → $5.0k → $2.3k → $299 (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,625)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,125)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 147
Announced 43
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Co-Op, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,933 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $6.6k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
Bread & Fred older $14.99 4,217 79% 127k $1.9M (exactly $1,896,385) SandCastles Studio
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
I wanna be the Creator older $5.99 2,860 94% 86k $514k (exactly $513,942) Aikesi
Bloody Trapland older $4.99 2,777 83% 83k $416k (exactly $415,717) 2Play
Toodee and Topdee older $19.99 669 93% 20k $401k (exactly $401,199) dietzribi
Dustforce DX older $9.99 1,214 93% 36k $364k (exactly $363,836) Hitbox Team
FOTONICA older $14.99 649 87% 19k $292k (exactly $291,855) Santa Ragione
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Level Devil $6.99 1,304 91% 39k $273k (exactly $273,449) Unept
Paddle Paddle Paddle $4.99 1,584 86% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Zoroarts
Stuck Together $11.99 161 88% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Hugecalf Studios
Ritter & Rotwein $12.49 86 68% 2.6k $32k (exactly $32,224) Hurdy-Gurdy Games
An Eggstremely Hard Game $4.99 196 84% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,341) BBear Studio
Let's Cook Together 2 $23.99 37 75% 1.1k $27k (exactly $26,629) Yellow Dot
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Tentacle Tango $14.99 21 100% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) Cable Nest
Slam and Roll $7.99 39 100% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) KaleidoGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.