Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Pirates

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pirate Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Pirates

Only 7 developers shipped a Pirate Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Chaos Faction Legacy Collection, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Pirates
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Pirates: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,081)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,030)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 42
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Pirates
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 5,174 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $360, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
One Piece Burning Blood older $49.99 3,751 81% 113k $5.6M (exactly $5,625,375) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Shipped older $9.99 584 96% 18k $175k (exactly $175,025) Majorariatto
Trash Sailors: Co-Op Trash Raft Simulator older $19.99 187 67% 5.6k $112k (exactly $112,144) fluckyMachine
Paper Pirates older $12.99 115 91% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Iteration Games
Chaos Faction Legacy Collection $4.99 234 93% 7.0k $35k (exactly $35,030) George "EON" Eade
Curse of the Sea Rats older $9.99 104 56% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) Petoons Studio
Skyhook older $7.99 109 81% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Megastorm Games
Golden Force older $14.99 29 58% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Storybird Studio
Buccaneers Shipshape $12.99 31 87% 930 $12k (exactly $12,081) Merso Entertainment
Assassins vs Pirates older $7.99 30 50% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) DEADBIT
Blackbeard's Treasure $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) SAT-BOX
Hentai Senpai: Pirates! 2 $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Kink Master Studios
Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz · EA $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Ige Olwen
Tennis Antics $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Pure Entertainment
Skull Port $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) GD Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.