Do I ship it?

Games › Local Multiplayer › Local Multiplayer + Ninja

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Ninja Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Ninja

Only 16 developers shipped a Ninja Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.1M, ×8251 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 10 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Ninja
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $258k → $60k → $115k → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Ninja: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,356)
Top 25% $115k (exactly $115,123)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 51
Announced 10
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Ninja
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, 3D Fighter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Atmospheric, Cinematic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 5,782 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.3k, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 5 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 2016 · $43M NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS 2023 · $7.0M NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM Revolution 2014 · $6.5M NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD 2013 · $6.4M Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 2025 · $5.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4 older $19.99 72,409 90% 2.2M $43M (exactly $43,423,677) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
NARUTO X BORUTO Ultimate Ninja STORM CONNECTIONS older $59.99 3,881 62% 116k $7.0M (exactly $6,984,636) CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd.
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM Revolution older $29.99 7,228 84% 217k $6.5M (exactly $6,503,032) CyberConnect2 Co., Ltd.
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 3 Full Burst HD older $19.99 10,749 89% 322k $6.4M (exactly $6,446,175) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
The LEGO® NINJAGO® Movie Video Game older $19.99 1,916 86% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,149,025) Traveller's Tales, TT Games
Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage $19.99 1,897 71% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) RGG Studio
DEAD OR ALIVE 6 Last Round $39.99 550 31% 17k $660k (exactly $659,835) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Roof Rage older $14.99 576 89% 17k $259k (exactly $259,027) Early Melon
Two Strikes $14.99 256 89% 7.7k $115k (exactly $115,123) Retro Reactor
G.I. Joe: Wrath of Cobra $24.99 121 56% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) indie.io
Cursed Blood · EA $14.99 37 75% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) David Marquardt Studios
TENGAI $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Zerodiv
Shogi $7.99 14 71% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Popoko VM Games
Fighties 2 $11.99 6 66% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Pillow Pig Games
Ninjam! $8.99 8 87% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) G-Blossom

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.