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Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Multiple Endings game?
Local Multiplayer + Multiple Endings
Of 22 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×420 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) |
| Top 5% | $200k (exactly $199,700) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 80 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Local Multiplayer, Multiple Endings; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Arcade
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 1990's, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 68% positive over 1,983 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HockeyStrong odds
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Action RPGFair
- + Hex GridFair
- + ModernFair
- + WargameFair
- + TennisFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + SportsFair
- + RunnerFair
Comparable games
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 2016 · $5.5M 
Catherine Classic 2019 · $5.3M 
Pyre 2017 · $5.0M 
THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD: Remake 2022 · $2.0M 
Fight'N Rage 2017 · $1.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lost Castle / 失落城堡 | older | $9.99 | 18,417 87% | 553k | $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) | Hunter Studio |
| | Catherine Classic | older | $19.99 | 8,858 88% | 266k | $5.3M (exactly $5,312,143) | ATLUS |
| | Pyre | older | $19.99 | 8,396 90% | 252k | $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) | Supergiant Games |
| | THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD: Remake | older | $24.99 | 2,703 68% | 81k | $2.0M (exactly $2,026,439) | MegaPixel Studio S. A. |
| | Fight'N Rage | older | $19.99 | 2,557 92% | 77k | $1.5M (exactly $1,533,433) | sebagamesdev |
 | Star Control®: Origins | older | $19.99 | 2,067 74% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,239,580) | Stardock Entertainment |
 | Mayhem Brawler | older | $19.99 | 836 89% | 25k | $501k (exactly $501,349) | Hero Concept |
 | THE HOUSE OF THE DEAD 2: Remake | $24.99 | 607 44% | 18k | $455k (exactly $455,068) | MegaPixel Studio S. A. | |
 | The Yawhg | older | $9.99 | 1,131 84% | 34k | $339k (exactly $338,961) | Damian Sommer, Emily Carroll |
 | Shovel Knight Pocket Dungeon | older | $19.99 | 518 91% | 16k | $311k (exactly $310,645) | VINE, Yacht Club Games |
 | Class of '09: Puzzle Showdown | $19.99 | 333 57% | 10k | $200k (exactly $199,700) | SBN3 | |
 | Worlds of Aria | $14.99 | 220 90% | 6.6k | $99k (exactly $98,934) | Ludogram | |
 | Lumberjacked | $4.99 | 647 83% | 19k | $97k (exactly $96,856) | Inner Realm Studios, Dumb Duck Games | |
 | Orange Roulette | $2.99 | 132 96% | 4.0k | $12k (exactly $11,840) | Mikey Houser | |
 | WolfFang SkullFang Saturn Tribute Boosted | $19.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | CITY CONNECTION | |
 | Deepest Trench | $14.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Favor Games | |
 | Zone 6 | $11.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) | Ullbors | |
 | A Tower's Will | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Midnight Light Games, https://midnightl… (Midnight Light Games, https://midnightlightgames.com/) | |
 | Yellow Trouble | $17.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | DrearyWeary |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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