Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Metroidvania

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Metroidvania?

Local Multiplayer + Metroidvania

Only 9 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Isle of Reveries, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $6.3k against a market of $480. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 13.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Metroidvania
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $925k → $15k → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Metroidvania: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,525)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,891)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,174)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 31
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Metroidvania
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 10,656 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.6k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Guacamelee! Gold Edition older $14.99 3,154 93% 95k $1.4M (exactly $1,418,354) Drinkbox Studios
Gal Guardians: Demon Purge older $24.99 1,329 80% 40k $996k (exactly $996,351) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
Bloodstained: Curse of the Moon 2 older $14.99 1,546 84% 46k $695k (exactly $695,236) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
A Robot Named Fight! older $12.99 796 88% 24k $310k (exactly $310,201) Morningstar Game Studio
Megabyte Punch older $14.99 409 94% 12k $184k (exactly $183,927) Team Reptile
Capsized older $9.99 593 81% 18k $178k (exactly $177,722) Alientrap
Chariot older $14.99 309 81% 9.3k $139k (exactly $138,957) Frima Studio
River City: Rival Showdown older $24.99 182 54% 5.5k $136k (exactly $136,445) Arc System Works
Retro Game Crunch older $9.99 280 82% 8.4k $84k (exactly $83,916) Rusty Moyher, Shaun Inman, Matt Grimm
Isle of Reveries $19.99 87 91% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) desertcucco
Anima Flux $19.99 69 78% 2.1k $41k (exactly $41,379) Avantaj Prim
Disney Illusion Island Starring Mickey and Friends $29.99 31 93% 930 $28k (exactly $27,891) Dlala Studios
Q2 HUMANITY $8.99 56 89% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,103) liica, Inc.
Yarn Guardians $14.99 14 100% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) pentapaw studios
Kingdoms And Slaves $6.99 23 82% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) TGM
Shrine Of The Forest God $2.99 17 100% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Dustin.
Horde of Viscount $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Swiggins Studios
Bitvania $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BITTRON STUDIOS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.