Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Martial Arts

Of 36 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×1812 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 55 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 55 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $119k → $17k → $62k → $9.7k → $4.8k → $299 (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,090)
Top 25% $50k (exactly $50,375)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 108
Announced 55
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Fighting
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Cartoon
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 56,126 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $50k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO $49.99 50,395 86% 1.5M $76M (exactly $75,577,382) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Street Fighter™ 6 older $39.99 49,952 81% 1.5M $60M (exactly $59,927,414) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
TEKKEN 8 older $39.99 46,009 56% 1.4M $55M (exactly $55,196,997) Bandai Namco Studios Inc.
Mortal Kombat 1 older $49.99 34,197 74% 1.0M $51M (exactly $51,285,241) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
Hellish Quart · EA older $17.99 8,068 88% 242k $4.4M (exactly $4,354,300) Kubold
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage $19.99 1,897 71% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) RGG Studio
Double Dragon Gaiden: Rise Of The Dragons older $24.99 1,270 86% 38k $952k (exactly $952,119) Secret Base
Little Fighter 2 Remastered $15.88 1,770 76% 53k $843k (exactly $843,228) Little Fighter Co Pty Ltd, Marti Wong
Boomerang Fu older $14.99 1,805 97% 54k $812k (exactly $811,708) Cranky Watermelon
Gladio Mori $15.99 1,147 82% 34k $550k (exactly $550,216) Plebeian Studio
Iron Saga VS $29.99 376 79% 11k $338k (exactly $338,287) Gameduchy
Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends $19.99 168 72% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Huracan Studio
G.I. Joe: Wrath of Cobra $24.99 121 56% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) indie.io
Yomi 2 $19.99 104 92% 3.1k $62k (exactly $62,369) Sirlin Games
Fighting Force Collection $19.99 84 80% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Implicit Conversions
Shaolin vs Wutang Legends · EA $19.99 64 95% 1.9k $38k (exactly $38,381) J.Bowman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.