Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Logic game?

Local Multiplayer + Logic

Of 64 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 41 developers shipped in the last year and 45 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 45 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 64
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.2k → $2.7k → $210 → $838 → $119 → $0 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 64
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Developers, 2 yr 64
Released games 193
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Puzzle, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Family Friendly, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 453 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $7.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Last Call BBS older $19.99 1,220 94% 37k $732k (exactly $731,634) Zachtronics
How 2 Escape older $12.99 684 71% 21k $267k (exactly $266,555) Breakfirst Games
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
Harmony's Odyssey older $14.99 308 92% 9.2k $139k (exactly $138,508) MythicOwl
Brain Show: Party Game older $14.99 234 73% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) Simplicity Games
Hive older $9.99 244 83% 7.3k $73k (exactly $73,127) BlueLine Games
Petal Crash older $9.99 196 96% 5.9k $59k (exactly $58,741) Friend & Fairy
Cats Love Boxes older $3.99 432 97% 13k $52k (exactly $51,710) Devcats
Ready, Steady, Ship! older $14.99 103 66% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) Jollybits Games
Fallacy Quiz $14.99 88 88% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Tim Krief
Limbs $4.99 62 70% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Moritz Göldi, Dominik Würsch
Falling Face Fragments $1.99 140 95% 4.2k $8.4k (exactly $8,358) AshumArcade
Pushmania $19.99 13 100% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Kind of Games
Times Trials $11.99 20 100% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) Arc-Fy
Go $7.99 25 72% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Popoko VM Games
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Ominous Stew $12.99 14 100% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) bloomgeist
Double Trip $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) MaxyLAND
Reaktor $6.99 22 90% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Reaktor Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.