Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Local Co-Op

Only 15 developers shipped a Local Co-Op Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.7k against a market of $630. 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 29 announced, ×7.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.6k → $9.6k → $4.3k → $3.9k
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,174)
Top 5% $71k (exactly $70,536)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 50
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Local Co-Op
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 538 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $70k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Left 4 Dead 2 older $9.99 816,316 97% 24M $245M (exactly $244,649,905) Valve
Resident Evil 6 older $19.99 51,420 77% 1.5M $31M (exactly $30,836,574) Capcom
Resident Evil 5 older $19.99 48,521 87% 1.5M $29M (exactly $29,098,044) Capcom
Resident Evil Revelations 2 older $19.99 25,446 78% 763k $15M (exactly $15,259,966) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
How to Survive older $14.99 13,990 82% 420k $6.3M (exactly $6,291,303) Eko Software
Contagion older $9.99 10,042 75% 301k $3.0M (exactly $3,009,587) Monochrome, Inc
Obscure older $6.99 3,055 95% 92k $641k (exactly $640,634) Hydravision Entertainment
Space Beast Terror Fright older $14.99 1,255 91% 38k $564k (exactly $564,374) nornware AB
Obscure II (Obscure: The Aftermath) older $9.99 1,536 81% 46k $460k (exactly $460,339) Hydravision Entertainment
Sign of Silence older $4.99 1,787 52% 54k $268k (exactly $267,514) Renderise
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Containment Initiative 2 $14.99 89 85% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Gwyn Games LLC
Lurking Danger $11.99 49 65% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,625) Farelas
Jumpscare Simulator: System Breach $4.99 88 90% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,174) Durultay Games
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Phantom Bound $10.99 13 84% 390 $4.3k (exactly $4,286) Pixel Blight
Zombies Attack $4.99 26 100% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Liao Kai, LKK GAME
Toy Scrappers $4.99 18 77% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) LoudScream
Try 2 Sleep $2.99 19 100% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) Exotical Corp.
Backrooms Escape Protocol · EA $2.99 15 13% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Alarm Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.