Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + World War II

Only 9 developers shipped a WWII Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TR-49, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.1k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 11.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 2420% on the market, 13 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $446 (exactly $446)
Median $7.1k (exactly $7,130)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,024)
Top 5% $251k (exactly $251,011)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2420% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Interactive Fiction
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 6,004 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $7.1k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo older $29.99 2,718 95% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) ωstar, Seikei Production
Gerda: A Flame in Winter older $19.99 498 94% 15k $299k (exactly $298,651) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
TR-49 $6.99 1,197 94% 36k $251k (exactly $251,011) inkle Ltd
Attentat 1942 older $10.99 448 92% 13k $148k (exactly $147,706) Charles Games
Wallace & Gromit’s Grand Adventures older $14.99 314 89% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Telltale
A Foreign World $19.99 167 84% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) HighbornTiger
Over the Alps older $7.99 230 87% 6.9k $55k (exactly $55,131) Stave Studios
SEX with HITLER 3D older $6.99 227 85% 6.8k $48k (exactly $47,602) H Studio
Reimu Needs Help!? Aunn-chan to the Rescue! older $6.99 157 96% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,923) ISY
Encoded War older $11.99 48 77% 1.4k $17k (exactly $17,266) Somnolent Team
Grizzly Man $8.99 52 90% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) LCB Game Studio
Grief like a stray dog $4.99 89 98% 2.7k $13k (exactly $13,323) Rayonist
Sinking The Boats $6.99 34 94% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) 孟夏Mengxia
Get In Get Out $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wessi
谍影:余烬 $0.99 15 93% 450 $446 (exactly $446) 咕噜狗
Survive, Resist, Collaborate - a World War 2 Choice-Based Story $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Asterism Games
‌Lexis $49.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ‌Lexis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.