Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Word Game

Of 177 developers who shipped a Word Game Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 282 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 1 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×15 the market's $120 for a 1 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×2652 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 282 games are announced against 114 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 15.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 282 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 177
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.6k → $897 → $1.8k → $1.8k → $4.2k → $4.6k → $2.5k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 177
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,576)
Top 5% $316k (exactly $315,549)
Developers, 2 yr 177
Released games 465
Announced 282
Effort 1 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
1 / 10 · text and UI only
Systems
Interactive Fiction, Word Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 44,970 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 86 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 282 games are announced against 114 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty older $9.99 49,765 94% 1.5M $15M (exactly $14,914,570) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 older $39.99 3,462 97% 104k $4.2M (exactly $4,153,361) Navel
Homicipher $13.99 7,821 96% 235k $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) 八名木Games
Far Away older $12.99 7,598 94% 228k $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) Gratesca
The Weeping Swan: Ten Days of the City's Fall $11.99 8,227 58% 247k $3.0M (exactly $2,959,252) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring older $13.99 6,310 95% 189k $2.6M (exactly $2,648,307) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Mandate Of Heaven $14.99 5,446 91% 163k $2.4M (exactly $2,449,066) 木焱工作室
Sweet Home $7.99 9,910 94% 297k $2.4M (exactly $2,375,427) 开心茶房
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
月华辉映之刻 $11.99 4,227 89% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) 侠客狗工作室
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 $9.99 3,682 90% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) 莓夜工作室
S4U: CITYPUNK 2011 AND LOVE PUNCH $13.99 2,324 90% 70k $975k (exactly $975,383) U0U Games
V-LOVER! $10.99 1,439 89% 43k $474k (exactly $474,438) Hentopia
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Mr Right Simulator $12.99 724 94% 22k $282k (exactly $282,143) 男神模拟器工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.