Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Werewolves

Only 8 developers shipped a Werewolf Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Monster College, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×274 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $5.1k → $2.5k → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,200)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,331)
Top 5% $130k (exactly $130,370)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 40
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Interactive Fiction
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 721 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest older $14.99 805 83% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) Different Tales
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — The Book of Hungry Names older $19.99 234 92% 7.0k $140k (exactly $140,330) Choice of Games
Monster College $9.99 435 95% 13k $130k (exactly $130,370) Monster Eye Games
When The Night Comes older $12.99 289 92% 8.7k $113k (exactly $112,623) Lunaris Games
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Purgatory older $14.99 104 79% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) Different Tales
Hunter: The Reckoning — The Beast of Glenkildove $11.99 108 91% 3.2k $39k (exactly $38,848) Choice of Games
Hunter: The Reckoning — A Time of Monsters $14.99 63 80% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) Choice of Games
Blood Moon older $7.99 102 90% 3.1k $24k (exactly $24,449) Hosted Games
Werewolves: Haven Rising older $6.99 95 87% 2.9k $20k (exactly $19,922) Choice of Games
Werewolves 2: Pack Mentality older $6.99 45 95% 1.4k $9.4k (exactly $9,436) Choice of Games
Werewolves 3: Evolution's End $8.99 31 96% 930 $8.4k (exactly $8,361) Choice of Games
The Shame of a Daydreamer $12.99 12 83% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Micki
Werewolf Twins 👹 $4.99 19 89% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) TheBigO Games
Red Riding Hood 🐺 $4.99 18 88% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) TheBigO Games
The Last Werewolf $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Unnatural Freaks
Party Quickie $4.99 15 86% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) TheBigO Games
Hunter Hunted $5.00 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,200) Chthonic Chrome Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.