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Should I ship a Werewolf Interactive Fiction?
Interactive Fiction + Werewolves
Only 8 developers shipped a Werewolf Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Monster College, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×274 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,200) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $28,331) |
| Top 5% | $130k (exactly $130,370) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Interactive Fiction
- effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
- Werewolves
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 721 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVFair
- + Match 3Fair
- + VampiresFair
- + SportsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + PiratesFair
- + DrivingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Board GameFair
- + SnowFair
- + BuildingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest | older | $14.99 | 805 83% | 24k | $362k (exactly $362,008) | Different Tales |
| | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — The Book of Hungry Names | older | $19.99 | 234 92% | 7.0k | $140k (exactly $140,330) | Choice of Games |
| | Monster College | $9.99 | 435 95% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,370) | Monster Eye Games | |
| | When The Night Comes | older | $12.99 | 289 92% | 8.7k | $113k (exactly $112,623) | Lunaris Games |
| | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Purgatory | older | $14.99 | 104 79% | 3.1k | $47k (exactly $46,769) | Different Tales |
| | Hunter: The Reckoning — The Beast of Glenkildove | $11.99 | 108 91% | 3.2k | $39k (exactly $38,848) | Choice of Games | |
| | Hunter: The Reckoning — A Time of Monsters | $14.99 | 63 80% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $28,331) | Choice of Games | |
| | Blood Moon | older | $7.99 | 102 90% | 3.1k | $24k (exactly $24,449) | Hosted Games |
| | Werewolves: Haven Rising | older | $6.99 | 95 87% | 2.9k | $20k (exactly $19,922) | Choice of Games |
| | Werewolves 2: Pack Mentality | older | $6.99 | 45 95% | 1.4k | $9.4k (exactly $9,436) | Choice of Games |
| | Werewolves 3: Evolution's End | $8.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $8.4k (exactly $8,361) | Choice of Games | |
| | The Shame of a Daydreamer | $12.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Micki | |
| | Werewolf Twins 👹 | $4.99 | 19 89% | 570 | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) | TheBigO Games | |
| | Red Riding Hood 🐺 | $4.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | TheBigO Games | |
| | The Last Werewolf | $6.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Unnatural Freaks | |
| | Party Quickie | $4.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $2.2k (exactly $2,246) | TheBigO Games | |
| | Hunter Hunted | $5.00 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,200) | Chthonic Chrome Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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