Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Time Travel

Of 37 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×1223 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 58 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $14k → $1.0k → $74k → $6.7k → $34k → $2.5k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $5.9k (exactly $5,940)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,583)
Top 5% $581k (exactly $581,109)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 104
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 5,123 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $5.9k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 6 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Perfect Day older $19.99 1,733 84% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,039,280) Perfect Day Studio
Rue Valley $14.99 1,905 69% 57k $857k (exactly $856,678) Emotion Spark Studio
Old Skies $19.99 969 93% 29k $581k (exactly $581,109) Wadjet Eye Games
Critters for Sale older $9.99 1,805 94% 54k $541k (exactly $540,958) Sonoshee
ALTDEUS: Beyond Chronos older $29.99 379 95% 11k $341k (exactly $340,986) MyDearest Inc.
Eternal Threads older $19.99 543 87% 16k $326k (exactly $325,637) Cosmonaut Studios
Sexbot $14.99 723 86% 22k $325k (exactly $325,133) Llamamann Games
Kraken Academy!! older $9.99 737 91% 22k $221k (exactly $220,879) Happy Broccoli Games
Radiolight $14.99 414 90% 12k $186k (exactly $186,176) Krystof Knesl
Shanghai Summer older $12.99 393 89% 12k $153k (exactly $153,152) FUTU Studio
A Tithe in Blood $14.99 196 86% 5.9k $88k (exactly $88,141) Studio Élan, Studio Elan
Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room $12.99 191 81% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) mc2games
Time Space Rebuild $4.99 377 76% 11k $56k (exactly $56,437) INNOVATION DREAM
Train and Tame $9.99 184 65% 5.5k $55k (exactly $55,145) Tames Games
透明的她与真实的我 $10.99 108 87% 3.2k $36k (exactly $35,608) 可味玩KawayiPlay
Timestamps: Lost Love $19.99 56 82% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Motkeyz Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.