Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Supernatural

Of 165 developers who shipped a Supernatural Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 273 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×391 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 273 games are announced against 94 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 273 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 165
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.5k → $1.4k → $672 → $2.4k → $3.1k → $4.1k → $2.2k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 165
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,073)
Top 5% $186k (exactly $185,726)
Developers, 2 yr 165
Released games 437
Announced 273
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.25

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Multiple Endings, Visual Novel
Price point
$6.25 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.25.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,548 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 97 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 273 games are announced against 94 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Casting of Frank Stone™ older $29.99 5,580 62% 167k $5.0M (exactly $5,020,326) Supermassive Games
Scarlet Hollow · EA older $29.99 4,833 97% 145k $4.3M (exactly $4,348,250) Black Tabby Games
Sally Face - Episode One older $2.99 27,502 97% 825k $2.5M (exactly $2,466,929) Portable Moose
Tails Noir older $24.99 2,592 66% 78k $1.9M (exactly $1,943,222) Eggnut
The Mermaid Mask $19.99 2,776 99% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,664,767) SFB Games
Amanda the Adventurer older $8.99 5,931 94% 178k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,591) MANGLEDmaw Games
Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate $14.00 3,275 95% 98k $1.4M (exactly $1,375,500) Xso
Layers of Fear older $29.99 1,409 78% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,677) Anshar Studios, Bloober Team
Home Safety Hotline older $14.99 2,763 90% 83k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,521) Night Signal Entertainment
OXENFREE II: Lost Signals older $19.99 1,976 88% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,185,007) Night School Studio
One-Eyed Likho $19.99 1,155 93% 35k $693k (exactly $692,654) Morteshka
Amanda the Adventurer 2 $9.99 1,436 83% 43k $430k (exactly $430,369) MANGLEDmaw Games
Last Report $4.99 2,423 89% 73k $363k (exactly $362,723) Monopixel Games
Mojika - Truth Rears Its Ugly Head $24.99 413 77% 12k $310k (exactly $309,626) NITRO ORIGIN
No Players Online $14.99 624 83% 19k $281k (exactly $280,613) Beeswax Games
DYSTHANASIA $24.99 334 88% 10k $250k (exactly $250,400) Madowaku Kobo
Amanda the Adventurer 3 $9.99 699 86% 21k $209k (exactly $209,490) MANGLEDmaw Games
Mindcop $14.99 413 94% 12k $186k (exactly $185,726) Andre Gareis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.