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Should I ship a Solitaire Interactive Fiction?
Interactive Fiction + Solitaire
Only 9 developers shipped a Solitaire Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forbidden Solitaire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 1 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $120. 14 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $11,389) |
| Top 5% | $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 1 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6715% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Interactive Fiction
- effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
- Solitaire
- effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table
What it takes
- Effort
- 1 / 10 · text and UI only
- Systems
- Interactive Fiction, Solitaire
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.
The top 10 games average 61% positive over 6,758 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Interactive Fiction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVFair
- + Match 3Fair
- + VampiresFair
- + SportsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + PiratesFair
- + DrivingFair
- + DiplomacyFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Board GameFair
- + SnowFair
- + BuildingFair
Comparable games
Retirement Simulator 2022 · EA · $1.6M 
Forbidden Solitaire 2026 · $1.1M 
Tested on Humans: Escape Room 2021 · $130k 
Lenin - The Lion 2019 · $37k 
Lianhai Casino 2022 · $22k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Retirement Simulator | · EA older | $13.99 | 3,757 34% | 113k | $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) | DoubleThink Studio |
| | Forbidden Solitaire | $15.99 | 2,245 96% | 67k | $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) | Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertai… (Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertainment) | |
| | Tested on Humans: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 434 87% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,070) | mc2games |
| | Lenin - The Lion | older | $11.99 | 102 90% | 3.1k | $37k (exactly $36,689) | Lornyon |
| | Lianhai Casino | older | $8.99 | 81 91% | 2.4k | $22k (exactly $21,846) | 致意 |
 | Grizzly Man | $8.99 | 52 90% | 1.6k | $14k (exactly $14,024) | LCB Game Studio | |
 | Pay Back Girls | $9.99 | 38 92% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,389) | The Platypus | |
 | YOKO | older | $10.99 | 16 43% | 480 | $5.3k (exactly $5,275) | Lucas kyioshi |
 | Blood Poker | older | $4.99 | 27 96% | 810 | $4.0k (exactly $4,042) | Roeb |
 | Seven Seas Jewels 2 Collector's Edition | $15.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Anawiki Games | |
 | Emily_ | $3.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Tetrabyte Games | |
 | Beach Boys: Zodiac date | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Red Fables | |
 | Crowley Hotel. The JH Chronicles | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | Bern.C | |
 | Luddite | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Joseph Adams, Madeleine Adams | |
 | In The Vroms In Clones | $1.59 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Lucas Jardeu |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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