Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Management game?

Management + Runner

Only 9 developers shipped a Runner Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Progress Racer RPG, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $800, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×38 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Management + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $802 (exactly $802)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,900)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 26
Announced 9
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Runner
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 763 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $800, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Progress Racer RPG $5.99 133 94% 4.0k $24k (exactly $23,900) Cameron Ladjevardi, David Elliot
Packing House · EA older $9.99 73 68% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) SmartLife, Roman Studio
Slim Girl $9.99 10 40% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Fat Tiger
M.U.D.S.: Mean Ugly Dirty Sport older $6.99 9 66% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) Golden Goblins, Rainbow Arts
Auto Pet Racers · EA $4.99 11 54% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) UnscriptedLogic
Death: The Ascension older $4.99 9 66% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Dystopian Ruler
Trump Tariff $1.99 21 71% 630 $1.3k (exactly $1,254) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Fastest Cars Traffic Racer older $0.99 39 87% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,158) Rokito Games
Барабан: Майстер-торгаш $0.99 27 77% 810 $802 (exactly $802) Brenntkopf Development
福报镖局 $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Flappy Cow Studio
Coffee Rush $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Matthew Lalande
Waste Runner: Critical Waste $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Black Scarab Games
Cozy Coasters $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mercior Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.