Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Robots

Of 27 developers who shipped a Robot Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×299 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 47 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 47 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $538 → $2.7k → $1.3k → $1.2k → $6.5k → $2.1k → $2.6k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $358 (exactly $358)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Top 5% $188k (exactly $187,706)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 84
Announced 47
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Dating Sim, Visual Novel
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,612 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Invincible older $29.99 10,055 87% 302k $9.0M (exactly $9,046,484) Starward Industries
Caravan SandWitch older $24.99 2,797 88% 84k $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) Studio Plane Toast
State of Mind older $19.99 1,548 76% 46k $928k (exactly $928,336) Daedalic Entertainment
Choice of Robots older $6.99 1,893 96% 57k $397k (exactly $396,962) Choice of Games
Sexbot $14.99 723 86% 22k $325k (exactly $325,133) Llamamann Games
Heaven Will Be Mine older $14.99 709 92% 21k $319k (exactly $318,837) Pillow Fight, Worst Girls Games
CAT Interstellar older $9.99 695 70% 21k $208k (exactly $208,292) Ionized Games
ToHeart $19.99 313 87% 9.4k $188k (exactly $187,706) AQUAPLUS
Monolith older $14.99 323 74% 9.7k $145k (exactly $145,253) Animation Arts
我的机器人女友 $4.99 911 90% 27k $136k (exactly $136,377) 时娱游戏
Shooty Shooty Robot Invasion $9.99 353 93% 11k $106k (exactly $105,794) Bubby Darkstar
Train and Tame $9.99 184 65% 5.5k $55k (exactly $55,145) Tames Games
DATING OF THE FUTURE $15.99 43 90% 1.3k $21k (exactly $20,627) geoWaffle
About an Elf $7.99 27 88% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Meringue Interactive
Tale of android after the Apocalypse $4.99 21 80% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Team Moko App.
Sex Machina $4.99 19 73% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) TheBigO Games
Qelochia $4.99 18 100% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Super Brain Hemorrhage

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.