Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Psychological Horror

Of 482 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 764 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.0k, ×4.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×527 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 764 games are announced against 269 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 764 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 482
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $2.7k → $3.2k → $2.3k → $2.2k → $2.4k → $1.5k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 482
Bottom 30% $540 (exactly $540)
Median $2.0k (exactly $2,035)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,343)
Top 5% $250k (exactly $250,400)
Developers, 2 yr 482
Released games 1,168
Announced 764
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Multiple Endings
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 87,607 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.0k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 287 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 764 games are announced against 269 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut older $17.99 31,885 96% 957k $17M (exactly $17,208,334) Black Tabby Games
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty older $9.99 49,765 94% 1.5M $15M (exactly $14,914,570) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! older $14.99 30,148 97% 904k $14M (exactly $13,557,556) Team Salvato
魔女的夜宴 older $34.99 9,664 98% 290k $10M (exactly $10,144,301) YUZUSOFT
Until Then older $19.99 15,721 96% 472k $9.4M (exactly $9,427,884) Polychroma Games
Tiny Bunny $10.99 27,200 83% 816k $9.0M (exactly $8,967,840) Saikono, Sokar
Little Misfortune older $19.99 11,789 92% 354k $7.1M (exactly $7,069,863) Killmonday Games AB
Mirror 2: Project X · EA older $1.99 111,251 24% 3.3M $6.6M (exactly $6,641,685) KAGAMI Ⅱ WORKs
Unheard - Voices of Crime older $6.99 30,978 95% 929k $6.5M (exactly $6,496,087) NEXT Studios
The Casting of Frank Stone™ older $29.99 5,580 62% 167k $5.0M (exactly $5,020,326) Supermassive Games
Shift At Midnight $9.99 10,147 88% 304k $3.0M (exactly $3,041,056) Bun Muen
KARMA: The Dark World $24.99 3,963 90% 119k $3.0M (exactly $2,971,061) POLLARD STUDIO LLC
The Weeping Swan: Ten Days of the City's Fall $11.99 8,227 58% 247k $3.0M (exactly $2,959,252) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Sweet Home $7.99 9,910 94% 297k $2.4M (exactly $2,375,427) 开心茶房
Cabernet $19.99 2,025 94% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) Party for Introverts
The NOexistenceN of you AND me $1.99 20,139 93% 604k $1.2M (exactly $1,202,298) 0x0Real Studio
Desktop Explorer $17.99 2,077 96% 62k $1.1M (exactly $1,120,957) Recurring Dream
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
再见断刀 $9.99 2,563 92% 77k $768k (exactly $768,131) 非侠游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.