Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Military

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Military Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Military

Only 15 developers shipped a Military Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Conquer the world, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $770k, ×1239 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Military
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.0k → $5.8k → $4.3k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Military: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,753)
Top 5% $778k (exactly $777,841)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 43
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Military
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Interactive Fiction
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,007 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $770k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Conquer the world $12.99 1,996 92% 60k $778k (exactly $777,841) 互动之星
Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog $14.99 843 90% 25k $379k (exactly $379,097) Space Colony Studios
I, the Forgotten One older $7.99 199 89% 6.0k $48k (exactly $47,700) Hosted Games
Wings of Empire · EA $14.99 49 87% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Droid Productions
返杀 Back Fire older $11.99 40 57% 1.2k $14k (exactly $14,388) 熬夜有光
Diddy $7.99 24 62% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) GalaxyVerse
MOBIUS BAND* older $8.99 20 85% 600 $5.4k (exactly $5,394) Irregulars
Project Angels - Visual Novel older $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Project Angels Dev, AlienzProject
World War II Armored Recon $8.99 16 87% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Hosted Games
双雄风流传(Romantic Emperor) $2.18 53 86% 1.6k $3.5k (exactly $3,466) Turtle game
Posthuman: Guardians vs PSION $6.99 14 42% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Choice of Games
Alexandria IV $11.99 5 80% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) J. M. Beraldo, Time Galleon
Scam Grandpa $12.99 3 100% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) BRB Drama
Open Close Door $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Crane

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.