Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Mechs

Only 18 developers shipped a Mech Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $0 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $300 → $0 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $300 (exactly $300)
Top 5% $379k (exactly $379,097)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 32
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Visual Novel, Dating Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, First-Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 9 games average 89% positive over 880 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $300, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog $14.99 843 90% 25k $379k (exactly $379,097) Space Colony Studios
ALTDEUS: Beyond Chronos older $29.99 379 95% 11k $341k (exactly $340,986) MyDearest Inc.
Heaven Will Be Mine older $14.99 709 92% 21k $319k (exactly $318,837) Pillow Fight, Worst Girls Games
Mecha Ace older $5.99 151 86% 4.5k $27k (exactly $27,135) Choice of Games
Battle Girls older $9.99 80 85% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,976) Dharker Studios
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel older $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Innomen Team
彗星战团 older $2.99 185 86% 5.6k $17k (exactly $16,594) 星火工造
Ironheart older $6.99 42 88% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) Choice of Games
Cyberlinxxx older $12.99 20 75% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Baka_energy_studios
BROKEN God Awakening $4.99 25 76% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) lamb of game
Professor mother-in-law begged me to get pregnant $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) CHEN JIAWEI
Transforming my fiancée $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) FSK20006
OKeverything with 3000 beauties 2 $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) XIOF FAN, S+TEAMBABA, XU TING
OKeverything with 3000 beauties 3 $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) XIOF FAN, XU TING, S+TEAMBABA
My Kirin kidney and my beloved teachers $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) OKEdragon
My Kirin kidney and my beloved teachers 2 $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) OKEdragon
PLUS ULTRA $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) zawascript
Luddite $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Joseph Adams, Madeleine Adams

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.