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Should I ship a Time Manipulation Incremental game?
Time Manipulation + Incremental
Only 14 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bauhaus Bonk, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $17k, ×37 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $419 (exactly $419) |
| Top 25% | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) |
| Top 5% | $17k (exactly $17,498) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Time Manipulation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Time Manipulation, Incremental
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 166 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DemonsFair
- + CapitalismFair
- + ModernFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + DetectivePoor odds
- + NoirPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Magic Research 2 | older | $5.99 | 610 92% | 18k | $110k (exactly $109,617) | Maticolotto |
| | Magic Research | older | $4.99 | 410 90% | 12k | $61k (exactly $61,377) | Maticolotto |
| | Magic Potion Explorer | older | $9.99 | 95 55% | 2.9k | $28k (exactly $28,472) | ARTIFACTS |
| | Score a goal (Physical football) | older | $2.99 | 247 66% | 7.4k | $22k (exactly $22,156) | BulatHard |
| | Poop Clicker | older | $0.99 | 725 76% | 22k | $22k (exactly $21,532) | Serge Kornew |
| | Bauhaus Bonk | $7.99 | 73 100% | 2.2k | $17k (exactly $17,498) | Spoonful Games | |
| | Score a goal 2 (Physical football) | older | $2.99 | 109 71% | 3.3k | $9.8k (exactly $9,777) | BulatHard |
| | Animals Memory: Cats | older | $3.99 | 78 84% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
| | Claire's Cruisin' Cafe | older | $6.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $8.2k (exactly $8,178) | Alawar Casual |
| | Claire's Cruisin' Cafe: High Seas Cuisine | older | $6.99 | 32 87% | 960 | $6.7k (exactly $6,710) | Alawar Casual |
| | Zoo Protocol | · EA | $5.99 | 29 93% | 870 | $5.2k (exactly $5,211) | WaveMood |
| | Ghostify | $3.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $3.2k (exactly $3,232) | LightTriadGames | |
| | Depths of Providence | $2.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | Ryan Lutz | |
| | Duty Free Shop Simulator | · EA | $4.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | CLOWN MAGIC |
| | Infinite Idle: Online Clicker RPG | $1.99 | 8 37% | 240 | $478 (exactly $478) | Comar Studios | |
| | Back to Modern World - Fantasy Hero | $6.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | S Xavier Uy | |
| | Ivan | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Henry Scheuller | |
| | It Takes One Year To Beat This Game | $0.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $178 (exactly $178) | Haha Games | |
| | Mini-Map | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | TokAyı Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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