Do I ship it?

Games › Multiple Endings › Multiple Endings + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Incremental game?

Multiple Endings + Incremental

Of 156 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 204 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $740, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×297 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 204 games are announced against 101 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 204 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 156
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.8k → $6.5k → $1.8k → $624 → $832 → $359 → $958 (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 156
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $742 (exactly $742)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,469)
Top 5% $141k (exactly $141,206)
Developers, 2 yr 156
Released games 320
Announced 204
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Visual Novel, RPG
Price point
$4.49 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.49.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 14,329 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $740, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 72 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 204 games are announced against 101 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Touhou Mystia's Izakaya 2021 · $5.3M Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate 2025 · $1.4M Doors: Paradox 2022 · $710k Sex, Secrets & Used Tech 2026 · $658k 1 to 1 humanoid edible toys 2024 · $580k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya older $5.99 29,517 98% 886k $5.3M (exactly $5,304,205) 二色幽紫蝶, Re零同人社
Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate $14.00 3,275 95% 98k $1.4M (exactly $1,375,500) Xso
Doors: Paradox older $14.99 1,579 91% 47k $710k (exactly $710,076) Big Loop Studios
Sex, Secrets & Used Tech $16.99 1,291 85% 39k $658k (exactly $658,023) WorkNite Games, 78Games
1 to 1 humanoid edible toys older $7.99 2,420 92% 73k $580k (exactly $580,074) 汉谟拉比炒面, 我的屁是香哒
恋爱吗？我家猫会后空翻 $9.99 1,508 96% 45k $452k (exactly $451,948) 光循花火工作室
WindStop Strategy $9.99 1,494 78% 45k $448k (exactly $447,752) Xia Start
That's not my Neighbor $2.99 4,498 88% 135k $403k (exactly $403,471) Nachosama Games
Midnight Paradise $17.99 658 88% 20k $355k (exactly $355,123) Lewdlab
JudgeSim older $6.99 1,376 84% 41k $289k (exactly $288,547) DelusionArt Studio
Souper Game $14.99 550 78% 17k $247k (exactly $247,335) SinBeans Studio
WANDERER: Broken Bed $14.99 314 65% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) TopHouse Studio
Feed the Reactor $6.99 658 82% 20k $138k (exactly $137,983) Adam Travers
Vtuber Hack $54.99 83 74% 2.5k $137k (exactly $136,925) ベルゼブブ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.