Do I ship it?

Games › Local Multiplayer › Local Multiplayer + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Incremental game?

Local Multiplayer + Incremental

Only 12 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Incremental game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lumberjacked, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $510, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 1410% on the market; 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 1410% on the market, 8 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $3.0k → $505 → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $505 (exactly $505)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,554)
Top 5% $97k (exactly $96,856)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 40
Announced 8
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1410% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Incremental
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 823 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $510, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $96k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Adorables 2016 · $452k Timberman 2015 · $248k Lumberjacked 2025 · $97k Sit-Back Attack 2025 · EA · $30k Live Empire 2020 · $23k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
Timberman older $0.99 8,365 93% 251k $248k (exactly $248,440) Digital Melody
Lumberjacked $4.99 647 83% 19k $97k (exactly $96,856) Inner Realm Studios, Dumb Duck Games
Sit-Back Attack · EA $8.99 110 78% 3.3k $30k (exactly $29,667) Stapleton
Live Empire older $2.99 261 45% 7.8k $23k (exactly $23,412) Happy Max
Brain Games older $5.99 27 81% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) Serhii Khramov, Dmytro Pohrebnyi, Ivan… (Serhii Khramov, Dmytro Pohrebnyi, Ivan Shutko, Illia Ustenko)
Timber Tennis: Versus older $1.99 81 65% 2.4k $4.8k (exactly $4,836) Digital Melody
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
Click Real Fast older $0.99 129 86% 3.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,831) NullReferenceException
Rogue Bricks $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) ArcadeNest
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
Gold Miner: Return to Glory $0.99 17 82% 510 $505 (exactly $505) Rokito Games
图说八道 $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) StarryMatrix
Age of the Fallen $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Duorum Studio
Quizrealms: From Stone to Steam $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) White City Crew
Quarrel Hill $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Pixel Dance

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.