Do I ship it?

Games › Immersive Sim › Immersive Sim + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Music

Of 26 developers who shipped a Music Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×4.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×272 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 24 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $55k → $148 → $955 → $28k → $12k → $2.9k (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $657 (exactly $657)
Median $6.6k (exactly $6,555)
Top 25% $53k (exactly $52,774)
Top 5% $407k (exactly $407,087)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 61
Announced 24
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 170% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Rhythm
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 6,679 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $6.6k, 1 in 4 over $52k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DEEMO -Reborn- 2020 · $2.4M Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis 2026 · $2.0M My Dream Setup 2023 · $1.2M Paradiddle 2022 · $495k Maestro 2024 · $407k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEEMO -Reborn- older $24.99 3,188 87% 96k $2.4M (exactly $2,390,044) Rayark International Limited
Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis $16.99 3,974 91% 119k $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) Alliance Arts, WHO YOU
My Dream Setup older $5.99 6,691 91% 201k $1.2M (exactly $1,202,373) Campfire Studio
Paradiddle older $24.99 660 91% 20k $495k (exactly $494,802) Emre Tanirgan
Maestro $24.99 543 96% 16k $407k (exactly $407,087) Double Jack
Rock Star Life Simulator $12.49 498 85% 15k $187k (exactly $186,601) HOGO Games
OFFBEAT · EA $11.99 461 97% 14k $166k (exactly $165,822) Whetstone Games
Titan Chaser older $4.99 1,000 82% 30k $150k (exactly $149,700) Stas Shostak
Music Store Simulator · EA older $24.99 189 51% 5.7k $142k (exactly $141,693) Crystalia Games
Panelka $5.99 769 86% 23k $138k (exactly $138,189) MonsterAttack
CD Market - Music Label Sim $19.99 105 97% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Lost Star Games
Trombone Champ: Unflattened $19.99 88 97% 2.6k $53k (exactly $52,774) Flat2VR Studios, Holy Wow Studios LLC
With Me: Aquatic Time · EA $9.99 153 88% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Sensory Patch Games
Band Space $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Smartmelon Games
Dance Eden $19.99 42 85% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) DigiEden

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.