Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Idler?

Multiple Endings + Idler

Of 76 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Idler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×238 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 99 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 99 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.9k → $4.7k → $5.1k → $8.9k → $2.6k → $1.9k → $1.9k (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,933)
Top 5% $113k (exactly $113,028)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 154
Announced 99
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Multiple Endings, Idler; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Incremental
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 8,422 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
THE LONGING older $14.99 6,977 92% 209k $3.1M (exactly $3,137,557) Studio Seufz
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
SchoolBoy Runaway $1.99 3,731 90% 112k $223k (exactly $222,741) Linked Squad
Feed the Reactor $6.99 658 82% 20k $138k (exactly $137,983) Adam Travers
美女,应接不暇 older $9.99 428 83% 13k $128k (exactly $128,272) 筠悦游戏
Slots & Diapers $6.99 539 88% 16k $113k (exactly $113,028) Parodie Games
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
A guard walks into a tavern older $7.99 415 83% 12k $99k (exactly $99,476) SuQing
Denos City: Complete Game older $11.99 217 70% 6.5k $78k (exactly $78,055) Backhole
Femboy Burgers older $9.99 221 89% 6.6k $66k (exactly $66,234) Asephy, 15 St Germ
Graces: Posthumous Wish $7.99 187 93% 5.6k $45k (exactly $44,824) TomoToro
Pornographer $0.99 1,214 88% 36k $36k (exactly $36,056) DT
Infiniclick $7.99 140 72% 4.2k $34k (exactly $33,558) Nacho AB
5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL $1.99 535 93% 16k $32k (exactly $31,940) Team GZ, VADIM CHURILOV
Pay 2 Win: The World is Mine $14.99 59 81% 1.8k $27k (exactly $26,532) Patriots Division

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.