Do I ship it?

GamesTriviaTrivia + Historical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Historical Trivia game?

Trivia + Historical

Only 14 developers shipped a Historical Trivia game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trivia + Historical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $30 → $30 → $479 → $239 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trivia + Historical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $214k (exactly $214,093)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 49
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring
Historical
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Trivia; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, 2D Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 413 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $270, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trivia with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.3k · 8 announced
  3. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 10 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  5. + DetectiveFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 6 announced
  6. + MysteryFair20 devs · median $748 · 11 announced
  7. + Choices MatterFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  8. + InvestigationLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot14 devs · median $120 · 7 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $9.0k · 22 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds14 devs · median $1.7k · 12 announced

All 45 pairs on the Trivia page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum $19.99 357 98% 11k $214k (exactly $214,093) Jupiter Corporation
Prose & Codes older $9.99 318 99% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Hero Game Co LLC
Trivia Vault: Science & History Trivia 2 older $13.99 88 61% 2.6k $37k (exactly $36,934) Ripknot Systems
Trivia Vault: Science & History Trivia older $13.99 85 63% 2.6k $36k (exactly $35,674) Ripknot Systems
Ichima-san older $10.99 61 100% 1.8k $20k (exactly $20,112) sewohayami
1953 - KGB Unleashed older $2.99 218 63% 6.5k $20k (exactly $19,555) ·
Medieval Fantasy Survival Simulator older $1.99 252 96% 7.6k $15k (exactly $15,044) Randumb Studios
The Time Machine $9.99 35 97% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Lionel Marsden
WikiArena older $1.99 62 96% 1.9k $3.7k (exactly $3,701) Ludokultur
Medieval Questionnaire $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) MedievalQuest
News Roll · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Koma
Binary Boss $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 2kblater (5)
Important People of History: Presidents - George Washington $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Sunny Demeanor Games
Cite $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Kovach
QUIZ GAME MUSEUM $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Game Museum
桌面塔罗 Desktop Tarot $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) SpaceWizard64
Quizrealms: From Stone to Steam $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) White City Crew

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.