Games › Survival Horror › Survival Horror + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Survival Horror?
Survival Horror + Historical
Only 15 developers shipped a Historical Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $590k, ×950 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,076) |
| Top 25% | $4.6k (exactly $4,641) |
| Top 5% | $597k (exactly $596,501) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Survival Horror
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Survival Horror
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 897 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVFair
- + DrivingFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + SnowFair
- + SportsFair
- + Outbreak SimFair
- + 3D PlatformerFair
- + Boomer ShooterFair
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Spectacle fighterPoor odds
Comparable games
Six Days in Fallujah 2023 · EA · $16M 
Five Nights at Freddy's 2014 · $8.0M 
Five Nights at Freddy's 2 2014 · $5.7M 
Ad Infinitum 2023 · $1.2M 
Kholat 2015 · $1.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Six Days in Fallujah | · EA older | $39.99 | 13,012 79% | 390k | $16M (exactly $15,610,496) | Highwire Games |
| | Five Nights at Freddy's | older | $4.99 | 53,607 94% | 1.6M | $8.0M (exactly $8,024,968) | Scott Cawthon |
| | Five Nights at Freddy's 2 | older | $7.99 | 23,871 93% | 716k | $5.7M (exactly $5,721,879) | Scott Cawthon |
| | Ad Infinitum | older | $39.99 | 1,033 76% | 31k | $1.2M (exactly $1,239,290) | Hekate |
| | Kholat | older | $19.99 | 2,036 67% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,220,989) | IMGN.PRO |
 | CONSCRIPT: Director’s Cut | older | $19.99 | 1,998 90% | 60k | $1.2M (exactly $1,198,201) | Jordan Mochi, Catchweight Studio |
 | Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny | $29.99 | 663 85% | 20k | $597k (exactly $596,501) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
 | Fursan al-Aqsa: The Knights of the Al-Aqsa Mosque | older | $14.99 | 930 96% | 28k | $418k (exactly $418,221) | Nidal Nijm Games |
 | Never Again | older | $13.99 | 887 79% | 27k | $372k (exactly $372,274) | Primary Games |
 | FURRY HITLER | older | $6.99 | 677 78% | 20k | $142k (exactly $141,967) | Furry Tails |
 | Subversive Memories | $11.99 | 129 96% | 3.9k | $46k (exactly $46,401) | Southward Studio | |
 | The end of paradise | $7.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | The Salty Trio | |
 | Casa Caballero | $4.99 | 31 93% | 930 | $4.6k (exactly $4,641) | Pananong Games | |
 | Out Of Water | $12.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $2.7k (exactly $2,728) | lapys games | |
 | Sleepless | $5.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $2.0k (exactly $1,977) | CaRuFy, Nagodo | |
 | 虚衝 - Kyosho | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | むつむつプロジェクト（Mutsu'pro） | |
 | Strigoi: The Vampire Legend | $2.99 | 12 41% | 360 | $1.1k (exactly $1,076) | SP GAMES | |
 | Vivere Retro | $8.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | Vidas Salavejus | |
 | Heir to the Queen | $0.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $475 (exactly $475) | 티민이 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.