Do I ship it?

GamesTradingTrading + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Hidden Object?

Trading + Hidden Object

Only 7 developers shipped a Trading Hidden Object in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $480. 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 26 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $390 → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trading + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $81k (exactly $81,219)
Top 5% $100k (exactly $99,817)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 36
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Trading, Hidden Object
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 11,101 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $81k, 1 in 20 over $99k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MiningFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  2. + Score AttackFair13 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  3. + MMORPGPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  4. + Character CustomizationPoor odds26 devs · median $60k · 137 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds23 devs · median $47k · 84 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds24 devs · median $47k · 82 announced
  7. + FlightPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  8. + SportsPoor odds11 devs · median $34k · 14 announced
  9. + CollectathonPoor odds28 devs · median $30k · 65 announced
  10. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $27k · 71 announced
  11. + DrivingPoor odds23 devs · median $24k · 48 announced
  12. + LootPoor odds23 devs · median $23k · 60 announced

All 109 pairs on the Trading page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hero of the Kingdom older $7.99 3,574 94% 107k $857k (exactly $856,688) Lonely Troops
Russian Village Simulator older $29.99 889 84% 27k $800k (exactly $799,833) VD Games, PropilGames
Hero of the Kingdom II older $8.99 1,900 95% 57k $512k (exactly $512,430) Lonely Troops
Hero of the Kingdom III older $9.99 1,234 78% 37k $370k (exactly $369,830) Lonely Troops
Center Station Simulator · EA older $19.99 554 87% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Nightmare Phoenix
Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 1 older $6.99 1,044 91% 31k $219k (exactly $218,927) Lonely Troops
Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 2 older $6.99 684 89% 21k $143k (exactly $143,435) Lonely Troops
Hero of the Kingdom: The Lost Tales 3 $6.99 476 91% 14k $100k (exactly $99,817) Lonely Troops
Weapons Genius older $5.99 475 53% 14k $85k (exactly $85,358) JDM4iK, Droid Riot
Treasure Beach $9.99 271 81% 8.1k $81k (exactly $81,219) Rogue Duck Interactive
ShoppingMall: Manager Simulator $14.99 95 45% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Geekon
Gun Store Simulator · EA $9.99 41 56% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Geekon
Buscabit: A treasure hunter adventure $5.99 9 88% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Vaquita Games
Galleons of Fortune: Pioneers $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Grupo Axertia, Carrera de Indias
Side Hustle City $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kian Productions
WXP Project $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Offensive Player

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.