Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Hidden Object

Only 4 developers shipped a Hidden Object Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 12 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $1.5k. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 25% $76k (exactly $75,575)
Top 5% $746k (exactly $746,027)
Developers, 4 yr 12
Released games 26
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, Hidden Object
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,806 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $75k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 12 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stonemachia $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Crossfall Games
Goonya Monster older $19.99 185 76% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) MUTAN
Grab and Guts older $29.99 87 94% 2.6k $78k (exactly $78,274) Galactic Geckon
Wrong Bullet older $29.99 84 89% 2.5k $76k (exactly $75,575) Galactic Geckon
Happy Souls older $39.99 37 75% 1.1k $44k (exactly $44,389) Galactic Geckon
爆裂!スイーツランド - PANIC IN SWEETS LAND - older $24.99 24 66% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
T.D.Z. 3 Dark Way of Stalker older $5.99 71 76% 2.1k $13k (exactly $12,759) Team GZ
Hard Night VR older $9.99 26 61% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Fly Dream Dev
HUNTERS FOR YOUR BRAIN older $4.99 28 71% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) REANIMATO.RUS
Mini Car Money Chase older $4.99 20 95% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) xproject
Valenium $10.99 5 20% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) Need3RD
Cockroach Simulation $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) WIZWIN
Eternal Flame:Romance Dawn $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Emre Erensoy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.